MNF: Dolphins vs Patriots Betting
Tom Brady and the New England Patriots take their talents to South Beach on Monday night to face the Miami Dolphins in an AFC East clash.
And they get a single point on the Monday Night Football odds menu, favored to win as both teams head for a Week 5 bye week.
The Patriots have gotten off to a great start offensively this season with the highest-scoring offense in the league through three weeks. However, their defense hasn't pulled their weight and have allowed more points then all but two other teams in the league.
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That was evident last week as the Patriots edged the Bills 38-30 as 14.5-point favorite. Prior to putting up 30 points against New England the Bills had scored only 17 points combined in their first two games. The Pats' high-powered offense picked up the defense, though, as Brady passed for 252 yards with three touchdowns and BenJarvus Green-Ellis had a breakout game with 98 yards and a TD on 16 carries.
Green-Ellis will carry the rushing load for the Patriots again on Monday with Fred Taylor sidelined. Taylor has been declared out with an injured toe leaving Green-Ellis with the bulk of the carries, while Sammy Morris and Danny Woodhead are ready to spell him when he needs a breather.
The Dolphins suffered their first loss of the season last week, falling to the Jets 31-23 as a 1-point home favorite. Chad Henne had a big game despite the loss, passing for a career-high 363 yards with a pair of touchdowns and an interception. Henne has started to gel with Brandon Marshall, who hauled in 10 passes for 166 yards and a score.
Miami wasn't able to stop Mark Sanchez in the loss, which doesn't bode well with Brady and his talented bunch of receivers coming up tonight.
Last year the Pats and Dolphins split the season series with the home team winning both games. New England was favored in both games, but failed to covered the spread both times. Going back further the Pats have won four of their last six against the Dolphins, but they posted a lackluster 2-4 record ATS. In their last 10 trips to Miami the Patriots are 4-6 SU and also 4-6 ATS.
New England is a small 1-point road favorite for Monday at Bovada, but I'll take the Dolphins in an upset. Miami may have had some trouble with Sanchez and the Jets last weekend, but they're still among the league's best against the pass this season. If the Dolphins can slow down Brady and company even a little bit they should be able to take advantage of a weak Patriots defense.
Henne showed what he can do against a solid defense last week against the Jets, and he and Marshall should put up some big numbers against a shaky New England secondary.