Monday Night Football Betting
Can the Texans deliver a big betting upset when they roll into Indianapolis to play the Colts on Monday night?
When the Texans hosted the Colts in Week 1 they surprised Indy 34-24 as a 1.5-point underdog. Arian Foster broke on to the scene in a big way and shredded the Colts' defense for 231 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 33 carries. With Foster running wild the Texans' pass attack took a back seat and Matt Schaub passed for only 107 yards with a touchdown and an interception.
If the Indianapolis defense could have stopped anything it might have been a different story in Week 1, as the Colts' offense had no trouble moving the ball. Peyton Manning passed for 433 yards with three touchdowns, and Austin Collie led all receivers with 11 catches for 163 yards and a TD.
In Monday's rematch both the Texans and the Colts are coming off their bye week. Despite the week off the Colts are heading into the matchups with a ton of injures on offense. Manning's receiving corps is a M.A.S.H. unit, starting with Dallas Clark out for the season and Austin Collie sidelined indefinitely. Also appearing on this week's injury report are Reggie Wayne (hamstring), Pierre Garcon (hamstring), and Anthony Gonzalez (ankle), all as probable.
The Indianapolis backfield is also hurting with Joseph Addai doubtful with a bum shoulder and Donald Brown probable with a wonky hamstring.
Before entering their bye week the Colts were already hurting but got past Washington 27-24 as a 3.5-point favorite. Manning passed for 307 yards with a pair of touchdowns, while Addai rumbled for 128 yards and a TD on 17 carries.
The Texans knocked off Kansas City 35-31 as a 4.5-point favorite back in Week 6. Houston never led until the fourth quarter, but scored two unanswered touchdowns in the final four minutes. Schaub threw for 305 yards with two touchdowns, and Foster found the end zone twice after rushing for 71 yards on 18 carries.
The Colts are a 5.5-point favorite at home on Monday, and despite their injury troubles they should pick up a win. The big difference on Monday is that the Colts are playing at home; in their last 19 games at home Indianapolis has only lost twice. That includes a pair of wins over the Texans, and overall the Colts are 8-0 SU at home versus Houston.
If you're a totals bettor the Monday nighter is a prime target for making some cash. Even if you've never made a totals bet in your life you should start on Monday by taking the OVER on the posted total of 51. In the last 11 matchups between the Colts and Texans the OVER is 10-1. In their 17 lifetime matchups the OVER is 12-5. When you've got two high-powered offenses and two defenses that can't stop anything you've got to go with the OVER.