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Monday Night Football Odds Stats

The Jaguars have pulled off two straight upsets both straight-up and against the spread. Can they pull off another one on Monday night when they host Tennessee as the underdog or will the Week 6 trend continues for favorites?

Jacksonville's latest upset came last week when they knocked off Buffalo 36-26 as a 2.5-point road underdog. David Garrard had a solid showing against the Bills, completing 16 of 20 pass attempts for 178 yards with three touchdown strikes and an interception.

Maurice Jones-Drew rushed for 84 yards on 19 carries and tight end Marcedes Lewis hauled in a pair of touchdown receptions, giving him five for the season.

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The Titans were a 7-point underdog versus Dallas last week and were out-gained 511-321 yards and still recorded a 34-27 upset win. Vince Young passed for 175 yards with two touchdowns and Chris Johnson got his wheels turning again with 131 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 19 carries.

Tennessee is a 3-point favorite on Monday as they try to remain perfect on the road this season. The Titans are 2-0 away from home this year, and going back to last season they've won three in a row on the road and five of their last six. [ Check out the full handicapping stats and {URL=/Stats/Matchup/Football/NFL/9240}Monday Night Football odds breakdown{/URL} in the matchup report ]

The Titans and Jaguars split the season series a year ago with the home team winning both games. However, when the Titans visited Jacksonville last season they were a 2.5-point favorite and got pounded 37-17 by the Jags. In their last 10 trips to Jacksonville the Titans are 5-5 both SU and ATS.

The focus for both sides on Monday should be the running backs, Johnson and Jones-Drew. Johnson has been the true difference-maker for the Titans this season. In the Titans' three wins this season Johnson rushed for 398 yards, or an average of 132 yards per game. In Tennessee's two losses Johnson ran for only 87 yards total, an average of 43.5 yards per game.

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On Monday night Johnson will face a Jaguars defense which ranks 13th against the run after allowing 102.8 yards per game on the ground.

Jones-Drew has only eclipsed the 100-yard rushing mark once this season, with 105 yards in Week 4 versus the Colts. He'll go up against a Titans defense ranked 11th in the league against the run that is giving up 101.8 yards per game on the ground.

Underdogs have been raking on Monday Night Football this season with a 4-2 record SU and a near-perfect 5-1 mark ATS, but we'll take the favored Titans this week. Tennessee has the clear edge on defense with the No. 10 scoring defense, compared to the Jaguars and their third-last scoring defense in the league.

Johnson should easily run for 100 yards against the Jags, but he doesn't have to do it alone on offense. Young has thrown four touchdowns and no interceptions in the Titans' last three game and should team up with Johnson and the Tennessee defense to post a victory and a cover for bettors.

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