Patriots Jets: Thanksgiving Day Pick
The New England Patriots will be looking for their fifth straight win this Thanksgiving when they visit the New York Jets Thursday at MetLife Stadium.
And riding an 11-2 ATS streak in 13 recent visits to face the Jets, many bettors are backing the Patriots even as 7-point road chalk here.
New England is a middling 2-2 ATS over its current four-game winning streak.
The total has gone OVER in each of the last six meetings between these two division rivals.
Sportsbooks, including Sportsbook.ag, had set the Jets as 7-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest. The total was hovering around 51 earlier in the week at Bovada (check for the current over-under lines).
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Jets at No. 25 and the Patriots at No. 3 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 39-22 result in favor of the Patriots.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New York's No. 23-ranked offense (20.2 PPG) against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 16 at 22.5 PPG. The Jets passing attack has averaged 192.7 yards per game, less than the Patriots give up through the air (289.7 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Patriots feature the league's No. 6-rated road run defense, allowing 86.2 yards per game. New York, meanwhile, ranks No. 11 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for New England, they were a 59-24 winner as they battled the Colts at home. The Patriots covered in the match as a 10-point favorite, while 83 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. New England comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Tom Brady in defeating the Colts 59-24.
Last time out for New York, they were a 27-13 winner as they battled the Rams on the road. The Jets covered in the match as a 3.5-point underdog, while 40 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Bilal Powell scored twice in New York's most recent game, earning a 27-13 win over St. Louis at Edward Jones Dome.
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 8-2
New York Jets Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the division are 5-5
A few Patriots at Jets trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 9 games on the road
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 7 games when playing at home against New England
NY Jets are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
NY Jets are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games
New England at Miami, Sunday, December 2
NY Jets home to Arizona, Sunday, December 2