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New England Patriots Betting Odds Preview

The New England Patriots lost a ton of weapons on offense this season, and if this were any other team, there would be legitimate cause for concern. But under Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, the AFC East title has been a virtual formality for over a decade. Will 2013 be different?

Odds to Win AFC East: -400 at Bovada
Regular Season Win Total: 11 at Bovada
Betting Props: Tom Brady to win NFL MVP (10/1) at Bovada

The New England Patriots steamrolled the NFL in 2012, finishing first overall in total yards (427.9 per game) and total offense (34.8 per game) by a considerable margin. Tom Brady was his usual sensational self, passing for 4,827 yards and 34 touchdowns with just eight interceptions. And what made the Patriots’ offense even scarier than usual last season was its institution of a running game that averaged 136.5 yards per game, leaving defenses completely baffled all year long.

Under Bill Belichick and Tom Brady’s leadership, the New England Patriots have always made it work regardless of supporting cast, winning the AFC East nine of the last 10 seasons. That ideal will be put to the test now more than ever. Wide receivers Wes Welker, Brandon Lloyd, and Donte Stallworth are all gone. Versatile running back Danny Woodhead is gone. And of course, star tight end Aaron Hernandez is gone as he faces a murder charge.

Danny Amendola was brought in to replace Welker, but he is an injury risk. As is TE Rob Gronkowski, who has been super effective when on the field but has had trouble staying on it. Can Tom Brady keep putting up elite Pro Bowl numbers with this much turnover? And what does Belichick have in mind for offseason acquisition Tim Tebow?

Defensively, the Patriots will look about the same, but could take a step forward with many young players getting valuable experience last season. It is a tricky unit to grade; ranking 29th in pass defense allowing 271.4 yards per game isn’t good. But when you consider how often the Patriots had huge leads and the opposing team was doing nothing but throwing, you can understand those stats being skewed.

AFC East Odds at Bovada as of July 26

New England Patriots -400
Miami Dolphins +325
New York Jets +1600
Buffalo Bills +1600