The New England Patriots are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three games against the Houston Texans and will try to make it four straight wins over the Texans this Sunday when they host Houston at Gillette Stadium.
New England defeated Houston 42-14 at home on Monday night football in Week 14. But these Patriots have been losers in the playoffs, especially for bettors who have limped to a 1-6 ATS mark in their playoff games since 2008.
Houston, meanwhile, is 3-0 ATS lifetime in playoff action and 5-0 ATS in January games.
New England is 9-1 SU over its last 10 games. The total has gone OVER in six of New England's last seven games at home and in 11 of New England's last 14 games overall.
View Houston vs New England Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
Bettors looking to side with the Patriots in this one found them as 9.5-point favorites earlier in the week at Sportsbook while the total was sitting at 48 over at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Patriots, currently No. 5 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Texans, who rate No. 4 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 40-31 victory for the Patriots.
Patriots Texans prop odds courtesy of Sportsbook:
Total Passing Yards - Matt Schaub (HOU)
Over/Under 265½
Total Rushing Yards - Arian Foster (HOU)
Over/Under 90½
Total Receiving Yards - Arian Foster (HOU)
Over/Under 35½
Total Receptions - Arian Foster (HOU)
Over/Under 4½
Total Receiving Yards - Andre Johnson (HOU)
Over/Under 94½
Total Receptions - Andre Johnson (HOU)
Over/Under 7
Total Tackles & Assists - J.J. Watt (HOU)
Over/Under 5
Total Sacks - J.J. Watt (HOU)
Over 1
Total Passing Yards - Tom Brady (NE)
Over/Under 300½
Total TD Passes - Tom Brady (NE)
Over 2 (-150)
Under 2 (+120)
Total Interceptions - Tom Brady (NE)
Over/Under ½
Total Completions - Tom Brady (NE)
Over/Under 23½
Total Passing Attempts in the game - Tom Brady (NE)
Over/Under 36½
Total Rushing Yards - Stevan Ridley (NE)
Over/Under 72½
Total Receiving Yards - Wes Welker (NE)
Over/Under 85½
Total Receptions - Wes Welker (NE)
Over/Under 7
Total Receiving Yards - Brandon Lloyd (NE)
Over/Under 64½
Total Receptions - Brandon Lloyd (NE)
Over/Under 4½
Total Receiving Yards - Rob Gronkowski (NE)
Over/Under 67½
Total Receptions - Rob Gronkowski (NE)
Over/Under 5
Who will have more Rushing Yards?
Arian Foster Week 14 vs New England +44½ (-115)
Arian Foster this week vs New england-44½ (-115)
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New England's No. 1-ranked offense (34.8 PPG) against a Texans defense that ranks No. 9 at 20.7 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 291.4 yards per game, more than the Texans give up through the air (225.8 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Texans own the league's No. 5-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 89.2 yards per game when on the road. New England, on the other hand, rates No. 8 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Last time out for Houston, they were a 19-13 Sportsbook as they battled the Bengals at home. The Texans covered in the match as a 3.5-point favorite, while 32 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Arian Foster went over the 100-yard mark (140) in his team's latest effort as Houston defeated Cincinnati by a score of 19-13 on Saturday.
New England won its last outing, a 28-0 result against the Dolphins on December 30. The Patriots covered in that game as a 11.5-point favorite, while the 28 combined points took the game UNDER the total.
Houston Texans Trends:
When playing in January are 4-4
When playing on turf are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 7-3
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in January are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few Texans at Patriots trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New England is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England's last 14 games
