New Orleans favored against Dallas
It’s becoming more and more difficult to bet against the New Orleans Saints at home.
The Saints are 19-4 against the spread in their last 23 home games and have covered the number in 20 of 30 home games overall, according to the OddsShark.com NFL database.
Drew Brees and company will look to continue that trend against the Dallas Cowboys in an intriguing Sunday night showdown in New Orleans. The Saints opened as 6.5-point favorites, but the number was already up to -7 at a few shops as of Monday afternoon.
The Saints were sloppy in last week’s loss at the New York Jets. Receivers struggled with drops, and the offensive line did not do a good job of pass protection against the Jets’ front four. Coming home to the Supedome, though, has a way of curing the Saints’ ills.
The Cowboys pulled out a closer-than-expected loss to the Minnesota Vikings last week. Dallas has covered the spread in 14-6 against in its last 20 games as the underdog.
The Saints are 6-2 so far on the season, and 5-3 ATS vs. the number. The Cowboys, meanwhile, are 5-4 and 7-2 ATS. Over under bettors have seen New Orleans go 4-4 and the Cowboys go 4-5 on the totals.
The Saints - Cowboys odds would favor the Saints if the lines were set according to power ranks. New Orleans is rated No. 3 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Cowboys sit at No. 11. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 31-27 win for the Saints.
Last time out for Dallas, they were a 27-23 winner as they battled the Vikings at home. The Cowboys failed to cover in the match as a 8.5-point favorite, while 50 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Drew Brees handled the Jets defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 382 yards and 2 scores, but New Orleans still lost to New York 26-20.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New Orleans's No. 7-ranked offense (27 PPG) against a Cowboys defense that ranks No. 15 at 23.22 PPG. The Saints passing attack has averaged 317.62 yards per game, more than the Cowboys give up through the air (305.22 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Cowboys feature the league's No. 14-rated road run defense, allowing 113.25 yards per game. New Orleans, meanwhile, ranks No. 28 in rushing offense at home.
A few Cowboys at Saints trends to consider:
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Dallas's last 15 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas at New York, Sunday, November 24th
New Orleans at San Francisco, Sunday, November 17th