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Saints home to rested Buccaneers

One week after a 62-7 thrashing of the Colts, the Saints were upset as 15-point favorites by the winless St. Louis Rams.

So what happens as they return home to face a division rival that has caused them plenty of headaches over the years? For starters, these teams tend to play low-scoring games as the past six games all went UNDER the total.

Second, the Buccaneers are terrific road warriors going 10-2 ATS and 9-3 SU in their past 12 road games. They have also been tough as a dog, at 7-3 ATS past 10 games as an NFL underdog.

But the trends don't stop there for Tampa Bay bettors. The Bucs are 7-2 ATS in their past 9 seasons after a BYE week and they are 7-1 ATS in their past 8 visits here to New Orleans.

For Saints backers, their team is 6-1 ATS past 7 games at the Superdome.

View Tampa Bay vs New Orleans Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The visitors opened as 7.5-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark, while the total was hovering around 51.5 at most shops. [ Check out the cool halftime betting offers courtesy of BetOnline ]

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 4 (Saints) and the No. 23 (Buccaneers) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 34-19 result in favor of the Saints is predicted by handicapping models.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New Orleans's No. 2-ranked offense (32.5 PPG) against a Buccaneers defense that ranks No. 24 at 24.1 PPG. The Saints passing attack has averaged 326.8 yards per game, more than the Buccaneers give up through the air (267.7 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Buccaneers feature the league's No. 32-rated road run defense, allowing 199.5 yards per game. New Orleans, meanwhile, ranks No. 5 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Tampa Bay, they were a 24-18 loser as they battled the Bears at home. The Buccaneers failed to cover in the match as a 1.5-point underdog, while 42 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Last time out, Tampa Bay got 2 scoring strikes from Josh Freeman in a 24-18 loss against Chicago.

Last time out for New Orleans, they were a 31-21 loser as they battled the Rams on the road. The Saints failed to cover in the match as a 13.5-point favorite, while 52 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Saints were Week 8 losers coming out on the wrong end of 31-21 score against St. Louis.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 6-4

New Orleans Saints Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few Buccaneers at Saints trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games

Next up:
Tampa Bay home to Houston, Sunday, November 13
New Orleans at Atlanta, Sunday, November 13

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