Drew Brees and the Saints roll into Kansas City this weekend on a two-game winning streak but will have to overcome pretty overwhelming underdog odds against a tough Chiefs defense to get their third in a row and pull their record even for the season.
- The Chiefs are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games against teams with losing records.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of the Saints' last 9 games as an underdog of 7.0 or less.
- The Chiefs are 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 7.0 or less.
KC plowed through Oakland last week and that’s a good omen for the Chiefs in Week 7. The Saints have given up 419.4 yards per game – second only to a Raiders team the Chiefs just dropped 406 total yards on. New Orleans has also given up the most points per game of any NFL team and has yet to play a top-16 defense.
If the Chiefs can get the offense going at all – which seems likely – they could absolutely pound the Saints. The high-volume passing game of New Orleans will have to be cautious facing a KC secondary that has picked off a league-high nine passes and has 29 pass deflections. Brees has averaged 45 pass attempts per game this year but may have to reduce that number if he wants to keep the ball out of the defense’s hands.
With that said, the Saints have one of the worst rushing attacks in the league as they have just 390 yards on the ground and an average of 3.5 yards per rush. The Chiefs have a mid-level rush defense so they are susceptible to the ground attack and could be exposed if Sean Payton and Co. decide to crank up Mark Ingram’s usage.
NO is 7-0-1 against the spread in its last eight games against teams with winning records so the mountain of points currently being laid by the Chiefs might prove to be an insurmountable number for a team that is just 2-3 against the spread this year.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Betting fans looking to side with the Kansas City Chiefs in this one found them as -7-point favorites earlier in the week at [custom Sportsbook-link], while the total was sitting at 49.5.
Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 32-18 result in favor of the Chiefs. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
Betting fans of the Kansas City Chiefs have seen them go 3-2 and 2-3 ATS so far this season, while the New Orleans Saints are at 2-3 and 3-2 ATS. In over under totals betting, the New Orleans Saints are 4-1, while the Kansas City Chiefs are 2-3. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Kansas City vs New Orleans injuries news.
The Chiefs - Saints odds would favor the Chiefs if the betting lines were set according to power ranks. Kansas City is rated No. 7 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Saints sit at No. 16.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Kansas City Chiefs No. 18-ranked offense (21.8 PPG) against a New Orleans Saints defense that ranks No. 32 at 33.6 PPG. The Chiefs passing attack has averaged 243.2 yards per game, less than the Saints give up through the air (301.6 YPG on average).
Defensively, the New Orleans Saints feature the league's No. 2-rated road run defense, allowing 51 yards per game. The Kansas City Chiefs, meanwhile, ranks No. 27 in rushing offense at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Last time out, Drew Brees threw for 4 scores and 465 yards in leading his team past Carolina at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
In their last game, Kansas City got a 131-yard performance from Spencer Ware as a key part of its 26-10 win over Oakland.
- New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
- New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
- Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- Kansas City is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games
- Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
New Orleans home to Seattle, Sunday, October 30th
Kansas City at Indianapolis, Sunday, October 30th
