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Saints are on a Serious Roll as Underdogs

Drew Breez Saints

This divisional matchup has been about as one-sided as it gets as the Saints are 8-1 SU in the last nine games between the teams, but they’ll enter this game as a small underdog. The Buccaneers are one of the NFL’s hottest teams as they’ve rattled off four straight wins, covering the spread in each. The Saints have dropped three of their last four SU, but have been a money bet as an underdog, posting an 8-0-1 ATS record in their last nine games in that spot.

Shark Bites
  • The Buccaneers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games at home.
  • The Saints are 4-0-1 ATS on the road this season.
  • Doug Martin has scored at least one rushing TD in four of his last five games at home.

Digging a bit deeper into the Saints’ underdog run, five of those covers have occurred on the road and, as an underdog vs divisional opponents, they’ve gone 6-0-1 ATS since the beginning of last season. The Bucs have been a favorite just once this season and in their last three games as a favorite, they’ve gone 0-3 SU and ATS. One of those losses was against the Saints last December.

The total is hovering around the 51.5-point mark, which is the highest of the week, and the UNDER is trending in this matchup. The teams have gone UNDER in three straight games against each other and in 12 of the last 15. Going UNDER the number has also become the norm for New Orleans on the road as it’s hit in six of the last eight outside of New Orleans.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were listed as 0-point at Bovada and other online Sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 51.

Odds Shark computer NFL score prediction models picked a possible 27-24 win for the Buccaneers on Sunday. That score may change during the week, if injury or weather factors alter the numbers, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Betting fans of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have seen them go 7-5 and 7-5 ATS so far this season, while the New Orleans Saints are at 5-7 and 7-4-1 ATS. In over under totals betting, the New Orleans Saints are 6-6, while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 6-5-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tampa Bay vs New Orleans injuries news.

The Power Rankings at Odds Shark have the No. 8-rated New Orleans Saints taking on the No. 14-rated Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this betting contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Tampa Bay's No. 16-ranked offense, averaging 23.08 PPG, against a Saints defense that ranks No. 30 this week at 27.92 PPG. The Buccaneers aerial game is averaging 257.08 yards per game, less than the Saints secondary allows through the air, 276.83 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the New Orleans Saints own the league's No. 1-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 71.4 yards per game when on the road. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, rates No. 25 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Buccaneers were Week 13 winners, coming out on top of the Chargers by a score of 28-21.

Betting Trends
  • New Orleans is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games
  • New Orleans is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road
  • Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
  • Tampa Bay is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New Orleans at Arizona, Sunday, December 18th
Tampa Bay at Dallas, Sunday, December 18th

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