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Pats-Jets Spread Opens at an Outrageous 16.5 Points

The 12-2 Patriots will host the 4-10 Jets this week and New York definitely has a chance to win – or that’s probably what Todd Bowles is telling his players as they march the green mile to Foxborough on Saturday. This line opened with the Pats laying 16.5 points and has a chance to climb to an astronomical number. If New England loses this game, I know nothing and my entire existence is pointless – the real question is whether they will cover.

SHARK BITES
  • The Jets are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games against the Patriots.
  • The Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as favorite.
  • The Jets are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games against the Patriots.

It’s hard to go against the Pats in this one, even if their spread closes as the biggest this season. Foxborough has been a winning and covering sanctuary for New England this year and the Jets have seemingly given up.

The 22-17 defeat they suffered to the Pats in late November used up what little gas the J-E-T-S had left in their tank and the runaway New England freight train, conducted by Bill Belichick, is still chugging along at full steam. The most the Jets can hope for in this one is that they get their jalopy off the tracks before the Pats plow through them and leave Todd Bowles’ job in the wake of the destruction.

This is a “figure some shit out” game for the Pats. Their offense has been sputtering a little – by Belichick standards – and they’ll likely want to break out of their short slump heading into the final game of the regular season against a Dolphins team that has historically given the Pats a ton of trouble in Miami.

If I haven’t made my opinion crystal clear, I expect the Patsies to roll the Jets and take all their presents on this Christmas Eve matchup.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to back the visiting New York Jets in this one found them as 16.5-point underdogs earlier in the week, while the total was settling in the neighborhood of 44.5 at shops such as Bovada.

Odds Shark computer NFL score prediction models picked a possible 38-6 win for the Patriots on Saturday. That score may change during the week, if injury or weather factors alter the numbers, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New York Jets vs New England Patriots Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This season the New England Patriots are 12-2 overall and 11-3 ATS against the spread, while the Jets are 4-10 and 5-8-1 ATS. As for the totals, New England is 5-8-1 on the OU, and New York is 7-6-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New England vs New York injuries news.

The New England Patriots sit at No. 1 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the New York Jets are at No. 30 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the New England Patriots No. 6-ranked offense (26.07 PPG) against a New York Jets defense that ranks No. 27 at 25.57 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 273.07 yards per game, more than the Jets give up through the air (251.93 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the New York Jets own the league's No. 10-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 99.17 yards per game when on the road. New England, on the other hand, rates No. 11 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, New York got a 145-yard performance from Bilal Powell as a key part of its 23-17 win over San Francisco.

Last time out, Tom Brady threw for 3 scores and 406 yards in leading his team past Baltimore at Gillette Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • NY Jets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • NY Jets is 4-7-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
  • NY Jets is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
  • New England is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New York home to Buffalo, Sunday, January 1st
New England at Miami, Sunday, January 1st

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