NFC Wild Card Betting: Vikes vs Packers
In a rematch of their Week 17 battle, the Minnesota Vikings will face the Green Bay Packers in the first round of the playoffs this Saturday, this time in Green Bay at Lambeau Field.
Green Bay is 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games.
Minnesota is 4-0 SU and ATS over its last four games. The Packers are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in their last six games against the Minnesota Vikings.
But the Vikes have been tough as an underdog, as their 8-3 ATS run in 11 games proves. And they ended Green Bay's 13-game win streak within the division last week.
Wild Card Odds - Vikings vs Packers: The Packers opened as big 8-point home favorites in the Wild Card betting odds menu at 5Dimes but was bet down to -7.5 as of midweek. The total was at 46 over at Sportsbook.ag.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Packers at No. 10 and the Vikings at No. 17 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 29-25 result in favor of the Packers.
Vikings vs Packers props - courtesy of Bovada
(MIN @ GB) Total Passing Yards - Christian Ponder (MIN)
(MIN @ GB) Total Rushing Yards - Adrian Peterson (MIN)
(MIN @ GB) Will Adrian Peterson (HOU) score a TD in the game?
(MIN @ GB) Total Passing Yards - Aaron Rodgers (GB)
(MIN @ GB) Total TD Passes - Aaron Rodgers (GB)
Over 2½ (-140)
Under 2½ (+110)
(MIN @ GB) – Which will be higher in the game?
Adrian Peterson Rushing yards +200
Christian Ponder Passing Yards -300
(MIN @ GB) - Who will have more Sacks in the game?
Jared Allen (MIN) -140
Clay Matthews (GB) +110
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Green Bay's No. 5-ranked offense (27.1 PPG) against a Vikings defense that ranks No. 14 at 21.8 PPG. The Packers passing attack has averaged 253.1 yards per game, more than the Vikings give up through the air (244.2 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Vikings feature the league's No. 14-rated road run defense, allowing 112.9 yards per game. Green Bay, meanwhile, ranks No. 16 in rushing offense at home.
Minnesota won its last outing, a 37-34 result against the Packers on December 30. The Vikings covered in that game as a 3-point underdog, while the 71 combined points took the game OVER the total. Minnesota comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Christian Ponder in defeating the Packers 37-34.
Green Bay lost its last outing, a 37-34 result against the Vikings on December 30. The Packers failed to cover in that game as a 3-point favorite, while the 71 combined points took the game OVER the total. In their last game, the Packers got 4 passing scores out of Aaron Rodgers, but lost 37-34 to the Vikings on Sunday at The Metrodome.
Minnesota Vikings Trends:
When playing in January are 4-6
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6
Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in January are 7-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 9-1
A few Vikings at Packers trends to consider:
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games