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NFL Betting: Raiders dreadful as favorites

Betting against the Oakland Raiders, especially in the rare times they’re favored, has been one of the best bets in the NFL over the last seven seasons.
 
Since 2006, the Raiders are 4-17-1 (19.0 percent) against the spread as favorites. That’s not good. Oakland has been favored on the road just once over the last seven seasons and just four times at home. 
 
With this season’s difficult schedule, don’t expect the Raiders to play the role of the favorite often. Their road slate is brutal - at Indianapolis, at Denver, at Kansas City, at NY Giants, at Houston, at Dallas, and at San Diego. 
 
The Chiefs aren’t much better, going 9-20-1 (31.0 percent) against the spread as favorites. There are eight teams, including the Chiefs and Raiders, who, when favored, failed to cover the spread less than 40 percent of the time (see complete list below).
 
While those teams struggled to live up to expectations, these three teams excelled in the role of favorite (ATS records as favorites since 2007):
 
Green Bay Packers (48-31-2 ATS): The Packers are the only team to cover the spread in better than 60 percent of their games when favored. It’s not a coincidence that Aaron Rodgers took over as the Packers' full-time starting quarterback in 2008.
 
Atlanta Falcons (36-27-3 ATS): The Falcons have been consistent as favorites both on the road (13-9-1 ATS) and at home (23-18-2 ATS) in the Georgia Dome. With an upgrade to running back in Steven Jackson, and Matt Ryan emerging as a top-tier QB, the Falcons will have plenty of chances to keep up this trend as favorites this season.
 
San Francisco 49ers (29-22-3 ATS): The Niners have been deadly as a home favorite, going 22-12-3 against the spread the past seven seasons. 


Favorite WLPATS %
Green Bay 4831260.7
Atlanta 3627357.1
San Fran 2922356.8
Cleveland 1613155.1
Seattle 2622254.1
Houston 3127253.4
New England 5548453.3
Buffalo 1715053.1
New Orleans 4540052.9
Baltimore 3836251.3
Indianapolis 4240051.2
Carolina 2524151.0
Chicago 3131250.0
NY Giants 3636250.0
San Diego 4346148.3
Pittsburgh 4449247.3
NY Jets 2731146.5
Philadelphia 3743146.2
Tampa Bay 1720145.9
Minnesota 2429245.2
Tennessee 2429145.2
St. Louis 912042.8
Dallas 3548142.1
Arizona 1825041.8
Jacksonville 1523039.4
Miami 1625039.0
Washington 1321238.2
Detroit 1118237.9
Denver 2135237.5
Cincinnati 1929333.3
Kansas City 920131.0
Oakland 417119.0

 

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