NFL Betting Trends: OVER stays hot
Points are all the rage in the NFL, and totals are soaring as books try to keep up with the late-season surge of high-scoring games and the bevy of OVERs that have cashed the past two weeks.
One week after an NFL-record 90 touchdowns were scored, teams combined to score 763 points this past Sunday to set another league scoring mark. Ten of Week 15’s 16 games went OVER the total, with 62.5 percent of games going OVER the past two weeks.
Books are adjusting, as totals continue to climb each week. But is it enough?
Four games have totals over 50 this week. The Philadelphia Eagles host the Chicago Bears in a game featuring a total of 56, the highest of any game in Week 16. The Eagles boast the league’s best running attack, behind LeSean McCoy. The Bears have the worst running defense in the NFL. Chicago’s offense attacks through the air, with emerging superstar receiver Alshon Jeffery. The Eagles’ pass defense ranks 31st in the league. Points could come in bunches Sunday at Lincoln Financial Field.
We’ve also got a big total in Houston, where Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos arrive looking to rebound from last week’s loss to the San Diego Chargers. Eleven of Denver’s 14 games this season have gone OVER the total. The total on the Dallas Cowboys’ visit to the Washington Redskins is sitting at 54. The Cowboys are trying to erase the memories of last week’s nightmare loss to the Green Bay Packers. Dallas blew a 26-3 halftime lead, with blunders on both sides of the ball.
The other game this week with a total in the 50s is an AFC West clash between the Oakland Raiders and the San Diego Chargers; that total was at 50.5 in the middle of the week. The Chargers are still in the hunt for a playoff bid, but can’t afford to slip up in Oakland.
A total in the 50s used to be an anomaly in the NFL, but with offensive-friendly rules and suspect defenses 50 is simply not high enough in today’s game. On the season, the total has gone OVER in close to 56 percent of games, according to the OddsShark.com NFL Betting Standings.