Some teams just seem get off to better starts than others, including the mighty Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars are 12-2 against the spread in their last 14 season openers and 8-1 ATS in season openers at home. Will new coach Gus Bradley be able to keep that trend going in his debut?
If so, Bradley will have to buck another trend that has not gone the Jaguars’ way. Jacksonville is just 5-11 against the spread as a home underdog over the last three seasons. And that’s exactly the situation they find themselves in on Sunday, when the Kansas City Chiefs visit as 3.5-point favorites.
This is the first meeting between Kansas City and Jacksonville since 2010, when the Chiefs rolled to a 42-20 win.
Like the Jaguars, the Dallas Cowboys also have been a successful bet in Week 1. The Cowboys, who have covered in five of their last six openers, are 3.5-point home favorites against the New York Giants in the Sunday night game. The Giants have dominated their NFC East rivals over the last several years, going 13-6-1 against the spread against the Cowboys in the last 20 meetings. Dallas is just 1-5 straight-up and against the spread in their last six home games against the Giants.
Track all of Week 1's NFL line movements at sportsbooks like 5Dimes and Bovada.
The Cleveland Browns are on the other side of the spectrum in Week 1. The Browns are an ugly 2-11-1 against the spread in their last 14 season openers.
Cleveland will try to shake that trend at home against the Miami Dolphins, who have not started the season well recently. Miami is 2-7-1 against the spread in their past 10 season openers.
The Dolphins began as small road favorites, but heading into the middle of the week the Browns had taken over the role of the favorites. Cleveland nipped the Dolphins 17-16 in their last meeting in 2011.
Another notable trend regarding Cleveland season openers: The UNDER has gone 11-2-1 in the past 14 Browns’ openers
Other notable Week 1 trends
--The Indianapolis Colts have failed to cover the spread in their last five season openers.
--The Minnesota Vikings have covered the spread in 8 of their last 11 season openers.
--The San Francisco 49ers are 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10 season openers.
--The St. Louis Rams are 2-10 against the spread in their last 12 season openers.