NFL Betting Trends: Week 14 Angles

A week that many experts predicted would go to the road teams turned out instead to be pretty good for the home teams.

Home teams split 8-8 SU in Week 13 of the NFL season, but the trends may favor roadies again in Week 14. Underdogs went 10-5-1 ATS last week, while totals betting trended UNDER at 9-7.

In Week 14, conflicting trends in Denver have many wondering if they can cover a spread in Oakland. On top of it being a letdown hole (after clinching the division last week), the Broncos face a divisional game while riding an 8-game win streak as a favorite.

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But make the Broncos a big favorite and watch the profits vanish. In 11 recent games where Denver was favored by more than 8 points (they opened at -11.5 at Oakland), they are 0-11 ATS.

The Tennessee vs Indianapolis game shows some trends that point towards a Colts cover. The Titans have lost 8 of 9 here and are 1-9 ATS within the division. The Colts meanwhile are riding hot streaks at home and within the AFC South.

The Chargers have lost 12 of 13 at Pittsburgh dating back to 1982, but the UNDER might be the safest trend as the Steelers have played 8 straight UNDERs at home.

Check out NFL betting trends on every game this week, courtesy of the Odds Shark NFL database.

Week 14 Sportsbook NFL Betting Lines (courtesy of Sportsbook).

Thu - Denver at Oakland (+12) (8:20pm ET)

Broncos 7-2 SU past 9 trips to Oakland
Broncos 8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS past 8 as favorite
Broncos 0-11 ATS past 11 as fave of 8+ points
Raiders 1-6 ATS past 7 home games
Raiders 8-2 ATS past 10 as dog of 8+ points

Sun - St. Louis at Buffalo (-3) (1:00pm ET)

All 7 meetings since 1982 played OVER the total
UNDER is 9-2 past 11 Rams games in December
Rams 9-3 ATS past 12 games as underdog
OVER is 6-1 past 7 Bills home games
Sun - Dallas at Cincinnati (-2.5) (1:00pm ET)

Cowboys 2-6 ATS vs Bengals since 1980
UNDER is 7-2 past 9 Dallas road games
Cowboys 5-14 ATS past 19 games
Cowboys 1-9 SU past 10 games as underdog
Bengals won and covered 4 straight games
Sun - Kansas City at Cleveland (-4.5) (1:00pm ET)

4 of 5 career meetings played OVER the total
Chiefs played 7 straight UNDERs vs AFC North teams
Browns 5-1-1 ATS past 7 vs AFC West teams
Sun - Tennessee at Indianapolis (-5) (1:00pm ET)

UNDER is 13-2 past 15 Titans-Colts meetings
Titans 1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS past 9 at Indy
Colts 7-1 SU and ATS past 8 home games
Colts played 10 straight UNDER within division
Titans 1-9 ATS past 10 games within AFC South
Sun - Chicago at Minnesota (+2) (1:00pm ET)

Bears 6-0 SU and ATS past 6 vs Vikings
Bears 0-5 SU, 0-4-1 ATS past 5 December games
Bears won and covered 4 straight as road fave
Vikings 2-13 SU past 15 within division
Sun - Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (-9) (1:00pm ET)

Eagles lost 8 straight, 1-7 ATS
UNDER is 7-1 past 8 Eagle road games
Bucs 1-8 ATS past 9 December games
OVER is 7-1 past 8 TB games as favorite
Eagles 10-2 ATS as dog of 8+ points since 1999
Sun - Baltimore at Washington (pick) (1:00pm ET)

UNDER is 6-1 in meetings since 1980
Ravens 1-6 SU past 7 as underdog
Redskins 3-12-1 ATS past 16 games as favorite
Redskins 1-9 SU and ATS vs AFC North since 2004
Ravens 9-2 ATS past 11 vs NFC East teams
Sun - Atlanta at Carolina (+3.5) (1:00pm ET)

Falcons 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS past 8 vs Carolina
Panthers 0-5 SU and ATS past 5 home games
UNDER is 6-1 past 7 Falcons games as favorites
Carolina 3-17 SU past 20 as underdog
Sun - NY Jets at Jacksonville (+1) (1:00pm ET)

Jets 1-6 ATS past 7 vs Jaguars
OVER is 7-1 past 8 Jaguars games in December
Jaguars 1-5 SU and ATS past 6 home games
Sun - San Diego at Pittsburgh (off) (1:00pm ET)

Chargers 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS past 9 vs Steelers
Chargers 1-12 SU at Pittsburgh since 1982
Steelers played 8 straight home UNDERs
Sun - Miami at San Francisco (-11.5) (4:05pm ET)

Dolphins 1-6 ATS vs 49ers since 1985
Dolphins 13-4 ATS past 17 games as dog of 8+ points
49ers 5-0 ATS past 5 vs AFC East teams
Dolphins 5-1 SU past 6 vs NFC West teams
Sun - Arizona at Seattle (-12) (4:25pm ET)

Arizona 2-7 SU past 9 trips to Seattle
Cards 3-17 SU past 20 road games
Seahawks covered 8 straight home games
Seahawks 7-1-1 ATS past 9 as fave of 8+ points
Seahawks lost 5 straight SU in division
Sun - New Orleans at NY Giants (-7) (4:25pm ET)

Saints won and covered 5 straight December games
UNDER is 7-1 past 8 Giants home games
UNDER is 11-3 past 14 Giants games as chalk
OVER is 9-2 past 11 vs NFC East teams
Sun - Detroit at Green Bay (-7) (8:20pm ET)

Lions 1-13 SU, 3-11 ATS past 14 vs Packers
Lions have lost 21 straight SU at Lambeau
Lions 2-8-1 ATS past 11 road games
OVER is 13-2-1 past 16 Lions road games
OVER is 15-5 past 20 Packers home games
Packers 10-0 SU, 9-1 ATS past 10 within division
Lions 1-8 SU, 0-8-1 ATS within division
Monday Night Football trends - Houston at New England (-4) (8:30pm ET)

All 3 prior meetings played OVER total
Texans 10-2 SU past 12 road games
Patriots 19-1 SU past 20 games in December
Texans 6-0 ATS past 6 games as underdog
OVER is 8-1 past 9 Pats games as favorites
OVER is 9-1 past 10 Pats games overall
Texans 0-4 ATS past 4 MNF games
Patriots 4-0 ATS past 4 MNF games

 

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