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NFL Betting: Underdogs to know

The New England Patriots have been underdogs only 14 times in the last seven years. They covered the spread in 11 of those occasions.
 
With a troubled offseason and one of the toughest schedules in the league, the Patriots could find themselves in the underdog role much more this season. 
 
New England is the only team in the league that hasn’t been a home underdog in the last seven seasons.  Depending on how the season plays out, a late November home game against Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos could change that. The Patriots are currently listed as 2.5-point favorites over the Broncos at sportsbooks offering NFL Games of the Year lines.
 
Along with the Patriots, the New York Giants also have been excellent underdogs to bet. Tom Coughlin’s team is 28-13 ATS as underdogs since 2006, including an impressive 23-13 ATS mark as road dogs and a pair of covers against the Patriots in the Super Bowl.
 
The Seattle Seahawks have been the best home underdog to bet, going 17-7-1 ATS. Away from Qwest Field, however, Seattle has struggled. The Seahawks are 17-26-1 against the spread as road underdogs, the worst mark in the league.
 
The Detroit Lions have the worst ATS record as underdogs. The Lions are 36-43-3 ATS as dogs in the last seven seasons.
 
Overall, underdogs have gone 931-851-39 against the spread, a 52.2 percent covering rate. It takes a 52.4 win percentage for bettors to overcome the standard 10 percent juice bookies charge. For example, you have to bet $110 to win $100. 
 
NFL records vs. spread as underdogs in last seven seasons


  WLPATS Cover %
New England 113 78.5 
NY Giants 2815 65.1 
San Diego 1710162.9 
Green Bay 2213262.8 
Pittsburgh 139 59 
Miami 3323358.9 
Indianapolis 2217 56.4 
Arizona 4031256.3 
Tennessee 3126154.3 
Washington 3933754.1 
Philadelphia 2017 54 
Cleveland 4135353.9 
Cincinnati 3228 53.3 
Baltimore 2522253.1 
Dallas 1715 53.1 
San Fran 3027352.6 
Kansas City 4440 52.3 
Houston 2826 51.8 
Buffalo 3735151.3 
NY Jets 2928 50.8 
Seattle 3433250.7 
Atlanta 2424150 
New Orleans 1616150 
Oakland 4545 50 
Carolina 2930149.1 
Tampa Bay 3537 48.6 
Denver 2729 48.2 
Minnesota 2729448.2 
Jacksonville 3539 47.2 
St. Louis 4247 47.1 
Chicago 2226245.8 
Detroit 3643345.5 

 

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