NFL Computer Picks: Conf Championships
NFL bettors will need to be savvy shoppers when choosing a pointspread pick for this weekend’s AFC Championship and NFC Championship games.
The OddsShark Computer model indicates both spreads for Sunday’s doubleheader are spot on. These lines are tight. The totals, however, may provide some value.
The Denver Broncos could be found as low as 4-point favorites early in the week, but were laying -6 to Tom Brady and the New England Patriots by Thursday. Brady missed practice Wednesday, reportedly because of an illness. It would be a shock, however, if Brady wasn’t under center on Sunday in Denver.
The Computer likes Peyton Manning and the Broncos to prevail in a high-scoring game that will be decided by less than a touchdown. The total on the game was sitting at 56 at Bovada as of Thursday. That’s way too low, according to the Computer’s projections, which call for 70 points being scored. The past four Broncos-Patriots games have all gone OVER the total. Denver, however, has played four straight UNDER games.
In the NFC Championship Game, the Seattle Seahawks can be found as 3-point or 3.5-point favorites over the San Francisco 49ers with varying juices. The Computer has this game being decided by a field goal in favor of Seattle. The two NFC West rivals split their two games this season, with Seattle winning comfortably at home and San Francisco edging the Seahawks at Candlestick Park.
The total on the game could be found as low as 38.5 at 5Dimes on Thursday. That’s again way too low, according to the OddsShark Computer projections. The Computer has both teams scoring in the upper 20s.
Weather, for once, isn’t expected to be a factor with temperatures in the 40s, light winds, and only a slight chance of rain at CenturyLink Field, where the Seahawks are 8-2 against the spread against the 49ers.
OddsShark Conference Championships Computer Picks
New England (32.7) at Denver (37.4)
San Francisco (26.7) at Seattle (29.6)