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NFL Computer Picks: Week 17 Bets

The OddsShark Computer liked the Green Bay Packers to beat the Chicago Bears with or without quarterback Aaron Rodgers, but it’s going to be close.

News broke Thursday that Rodgers will start for the Packers at Chicago this weekend, and sportsbooks opened Green Bay as 3-point favorites. The OddsShark Computer has the Packers winning in an extremely tight game, featuring a score in the low-to-mid 20s. Green Bay has covered the spread in nine of its last 12 games against the Bears. The Packers are 12-3 against the spread in their last 15 games at Soldier Field.

Rodgers broke his collarbone in the first quarter of a home loss to the Bears in early November. He’s missed the last eight weeks and was considered questionable to play on Sunday through the middle of the week. However, he says he’s good to go now and will take over for backup Matt Flynn, who did enough in place of Rodgers to keep the Packers in the playoff hunt.

The Packers-Bears winner this weekend captures the NFC North title and advances to the playoffs.

The Dallas Cowboys have major questions surrounding their quarterback situation heading into their showdown with the visiting Philadelphia Eagles this weekend. Multiple reports surfaced Monday that Cowboys QB Tony Romo was done for the season with a herniated disk in his back. Dallas has played coy about Romo’s status, but the betting market isn’t buying in - the Eagles went from 3-point favorites to 7-point favorites after the news broke.

The line would likely move back toward the Cowboys if there were any legitimate belief that Romo was going to play. Veteran backup Kyle Orton is expected to start for the Cowboys.

Regardless, the OddsShark Computer believes Dallas can stay close to the Eagles in a high-scoring game decided by a field goal. The Computer likes the Eagles to prevail by three. The Cowboys have won all five division games this season.

Week 17 OddsShark Computer Picks

Green Bay (24.4) at Chicago (23.7)
Kansas City (29.1) at San Diego (24)
Cleveland (16.6) at Pittsburgh (21.5)
Philadelphia (28.3) at Dallas (25.3)
Jacksonville (9.5) at Indianapolis (22.9)
Washington (14.1) at NY Giants (15.8)
Tampa Bay (15) at New Orleans (24.9)
Denver (37.5) at Oakland (19.1)
Detroit (25.7) at Minnesota (18.9)
Baltimore (19.2) at Cincinnati (26.8)
Houston (12.5) at Tennessee (20.0)
San Francisco (28) at Arizona (23.5)
St. Louis (20) at Seattle (30.2)
Carolina (28) at Atlanta (14.9)
Buffalo (19.4) at New England (27.3)
NY Jets (12.9) at Miami Dolphins (19.4)