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NFL home underdogs turn big profits

Big home underdogs have generated huge NFL betting profits over the past four seasons and two teams (probably three) will be in this situation in Week 8.

In the past 20 games featuring a double-digit home underdog, the big favorite has covered the spread ONLY TWICE. For those of you counting at home, that is an 18-2 ATS run double-digit home underdogs.

Minnesota was sitting as a 10-point dog to visiting Green Bay and St. Louis - minus Sam Bradford and amid rumors they had reached out to retired Brett Favre this week -  was laying 12 points in the Monday Nighter to Seattle. No line was set as of Thursday in Jacksonville's home encounter with San Francisco, but most experts believe that line will open around +15.

ADVERTISEMENT: The best NFL underdog lines are usually found at Bovada - check out the latest lines on these games this week.

This situation has happened just once in 2013 so far and Buffalo nearly pulled the upset over New England in Week 1, losing 23-21 as 10-point pups. A year ago, four teams were big home dogs and went 1-3 ATS. Denver was the line to team to cover (beating Oakland).

Before that, betting against big road favorites was money in the bank with a 14-1 ATS streak.

On the flip side in Week 8 NFL odds, there are several big home favorites as well. New Orleans lays 13 to Buffalo and Denver gives the same to Washington. KC may move to double-digit home chalk status (they are currently -9 to Cleveland).

Check out the most recent examples of double-digit home underdogs. (Bold Italics are favorites that covered the spread).

06/12/2009 San Diego 30 Cleveland 23 14 Cleveland
10/12/2009 Pittsburgh 6 Cleveland 13 10 Cleveland
13/12/2009 New Orleans 26 Atlanta 23 10 Atlanta
20/12/2009 Houston 16 St. Louis 13 14 St. Louis
20/12/2009 Arizona 31 Detroit 24 14 Detroit
03/01/2010 Baltimore 21 Oakland 13 10 Oakland
21/11/2010 Baltimore 37 Carolina 13 13.5 Baltimore
08/01/2011 New Orleans 36 Seattle 41 10 Seattle
18/09/2011 Green Bay 30 Carolina 23 10 Carolina
25/09/2011 Pittsburgh 23 Indianapolis 20 11 Indianapolis
23/10/2011 Green Bay 33 Minnesota 27 10 Minnesota
24/10/2011 Baltimore 7 Jacksonville 12 10 Jacksonville
30/10/2011 New Orleans 21 St. Louis 31 13.5 St. Louis
27/11/2011 Pittsburgh 13 Kansas City 9 10.5 Kansas City
18/12/2011 Green Bay 14 Kansas City 19 11.5 Kansas City
01/01/2012 San Francisco 34 St. Louis 27 12.5 St. Louis
25/11/2012 Denver 17 Kansas City 9 10 Kansas City
06/12/2012 Denver 26 Oakland 13 10 Denver
23/12/2012 New England 23 Jacksonville 16 14 Jacksonville
08/09/2013 New England 23 Buffalo 21 10 Buffalo