NFL Line Moves Slow In Week 1 As Usual

If you have been holding your breath for the big NFL line moves before deciding which games to bet on, you should exhale. Week 1 of the NFL season typically does not see much in the way of odds movements, mainly because the odds were posted months ago at shops such as Bovada. There has been plenty of time for bettors to shape the line, so barring a huge injury, what you see today is largely what you will get on Sunday (except that some of those huge signup bonuses will expire at places such as [custom:sb-sportsinteraction-textlink] ). Only five games saw much change this week and only one was by more than half a point. That lone game changer was the late Monday night game, San Diego at Kansas City, where the Chargers have fallen from a 5.5-point favorite earlier in the week to their current resting place as a 4.5-point chalk at Bovada. Does this mean that bettors are pouring the early money on the Chiefs this week? Well, the Chiefs do sport a winning record of 4-3 ATS in their last seven games at home versus the Chargers. It seems like a stretch that it would be enough to push more money the Chiefs' ways, considering they've also won once in their last 14 games at home while posting a 4-9 record ATS.

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The other five games that have had any kind of line change during the week were all adjusted by half a point and include Minnesota at New Orleans, Detroit at Chicago, Indianapolis at Houston, Oakland at Tennessee, and Baltimore at the Jets. The season opener between the Vikings and Saints began the week with New Orleans as a 4.5-point favorite. If you check that game right now you'll find the Saints as a 5-point chalk at Bovada. This should have been expected really, considering the Saints are the Super Bowl champs and bettors jump all over last year's big teams at this time of year. The Lions and Bears game moved just like you would expect a Lions game to do. The Bears were a 6-point favorite earlier this week, but they grown into a 6.5-point chalk. Does anyone really bet on the Lions to win anything any more? Especially on the road, where they were 0-8 SU and 1-5-2 ATS last season. Then there's the Indianapolis at Houston game, where the Colts have shifted from a 2.5-point favorite to a 2-point chalk at Bovada. People betting on the Colts not to cover against the Texans should not be a surprise considering they are 7-9 ATS against them lifetime. However, don't be surprised if the line moves the other way since the Colts look very appetizing as a 2-point chalk with their 15-1 SU record against Houston.

Next is Oakland at Tennessee, where the Titans have slipped from -6.5 to -6 since Sunday. After the Titans' pathetic 0-6 start last season who can blame bettors from spurning them for what should be an improved Raiders squad. Rounding out the list is the other Monday nighter - Baltimore at the Jets. The Jets have moved from 2-point favorites to 2.5-points favs since Sunday at Bovada. Part of that may be due to the return of Darrelle Revis, and if that's the case expect more changes when the late money comes in this weekend.
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