Broncos Eagles Odds Preview: Week 4
For the third time in four games, the Denver Broncos are double-digit favorites. This time, it’s the reeling Philadelphia Eagles who are tasked with slowing down Peyton Manning and the explosive Broncos.
Denver opened as 11-point favorites over the visiting Eagles. The Broncos are averaging 42.3 points per game, but are coming off a short week, after disposing of the Oakland Raiders on Monday night.
The Eagles have lost two straight and 13 of 15 overall. They do have some extra time to prepare, after falling to the Chiefs at home last Thursday. They’ll definitely need it.
While teams were worried about stopping Chip Kelly’s up-temp offense in Philadelphia, it’s the Broncos who have been more impressive. Manning has thrown for 12 touchdowns in first three games, an NFL record.
The past 4 meetings since 1995 have all played OVER (home team won 5 in a row SU). Philly has been tough as a big dog over the years, 7-2 ATS in the past nine situations like this.
And there is an interesting angle in divisional play. The Broncos are 7-1 ATS in their past 8 vs NFC East teams, while the Eagles are just 1-7 ATS in their past 8 vs AFC West teams.
The game pits the Broncos, currently No. 3 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Eagles, who rate No. 31 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 45-26 victory for the Broncos.
Philadelphia was a 26-16 loser in its last match at home against the Chiefs. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 42 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, the Broncos got 3 passing scores out of Peyton Manning en route to a 37-21 win over the Raiders on Monday at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Denver's No. 1-ranked offense (42.33 PPG) against a Eagles defense that ranks No. 26 at 28.67 PPG. The Broncos passing attack has averaged 374.67 yards per game, more than the Eagles give up through the air (323 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Eagles own the league's No. 1-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 23 yards per game when on the road. Denver, on the other hand, rates No. 14 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Eagles at Broncos trends to consider:
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Denver is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games
Philadelphia at New York, Sunday, October 6th
Denver at Dallas, Sunday, October 6th