Broncos Patriots Odds Preview
Can Tim Tebow's magic vex the New England Patriots and stretch the Bronco win streak to 7 games?
Denver opened as a 7-point home underdog against a Pats team that struggled to beat Washington a week ago and whose secondary continues to look putrid. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their past 5 against the Patriots.
They face a New England team that is 9-2-1 ATS in its past 12 road games.
Bettors looking to side with the Broncos in this one will find them as 4.5-point underdogs , while the total sits at 46.5. Prop bets galore, check out Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Broncos sit at No. 24 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Patriots are at No. 15 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Patriots will win this game 33-21.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Denver's No. 21-ranked offense (20.7 PPG) against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 14 at 21.1 PPG. The Broncos passing attack has averaged 160.8 yards per game, less than the Patriots give up through the air (308.7 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Patriots feature the league's No. 12-rated road run defense, allowing 112.6 yards per game. Denver, meanwhile, ranks No. 11 in rushing offense at home.
New England won its last outing, a 34-27 result against the Redskins on December 11. The Patriots earned a push in that game as a 7-point favorite, while the 61 combined points took the game OVER the total. Tom Brady dusted the Redskins secondary for 3 TDs last time out as the Patriots defeated Washington 34-27 at FedExField.
Last time out for Denver, they were a 13-10 winner as they battled the Bears at home. The Broncos earned a push in the match as a 3-point favorite, while 23 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Broncos were Week 14 winners, coming out on top of the Bears by a score of 13-10.
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in December are 9-1
When playing on grass are 8-2
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2
Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few Patriots at Broncos trends to consider:
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against New England
Denver is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing New England
New England home to Miami, Saturday, December 24
Denver at Buffalo, Saturday, December 24