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NFL Matchup - Colts Jaguars Odds Preview

Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts
4-11 December 29, 2013, 01:00 | Lucas Oil Stadium 10-5

The AFC South champion Indianapolis Colts would be the four seed in the AFC if the playoffs started today, but they still have an outside shot of earning the two seed and a first-round bye.

To do so Indy will need a victory in its regular-season finale Sunday at home against Jacksonville, and help from elsewhere.

The Colts have allowed a total of just 10 points in winning their last two games. They're also now 20-11 ATS with Andrew Luck starting at quarterback.

On the visiting side of this divisional rivalry the Jaguars, after losing their first eight games of this season, are 4-3 SU, 4-2-1 ATS over their last seven games.

As of early this week Indy was favored by 11 points at TopBet over J'Ville.

Some Jaguars vs Colts trends of note, the past five meetings played UNDER the total; the Jaguars are 7-2 ATS past nine visits to Indy; the Jaguars are 4-0 ATS past four road games as dogs; the Jaguars won outright past two games as double-digit road dogs; the Colts are 9-1 SU and ATS past 10 divisional games; the Jaguars are 6-1 ATS past seven divisional road games; the Colts 4-16 ATS past 20 Week 17 games; the Jaguars played 8 straight Week 17 OVERs and the Jaguars 1-6 ATS past 7 regular season finales.

The Colts are 10-5 so far on the season, and 9-6 ATS vs. the number. The Jaguars, meanwhile, are 4-11 and 5-9-1 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Indianapolis go 8-7 and the Jaguars go 9-6 on the totals.

View Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts Odds and Stats.

Bettors looking to side with the Colts in this one found them as 11.5-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada but climbing to nearly two TDs, while the total was sitting at 45.5 at BetOnline.

The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 27-rated Jaguars taking on the No. 21-rated Colts in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 23-9 win for the Colts on Sunday.

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In their last action, Jacksonville was a 20-16 loser at home against the Titans. They earned a push of the 4-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (36) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. The Colts grabbed a Week 16 victory over the Chiefs in their last game, winning 23-7 at Arrowhead Stadium.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Indianapolis's No. 15-ranked offense, averaging 24.07 PPG, against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 27 this week at 27.93 PPG. The Colts aerial game is averaging 228.4 yards per game, less than the Jaguars secondary allows through the air, 244.2 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Jaguars feature the league's No. 24-rated road run defense, allowing 127.71 yards per game. Indianapolis, meanwhile, ranks No. 19 in rushing offense at home.

A few Jaguars at Colts trends to consider:
Jacksonville is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games
Jacksonville is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Indianapolis is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 9 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Jacksonville home to , Wednesday, December 31st
Indianapolis home to , Wednesday, December 31st