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NFL Matchup - Patriots Dolphins Odds Preview

Miami DolphinsNew England Patriots
Dec 30, 4:25 PM | Turf of Gillette Stadium

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Odds

7-8TEAM RECORD11-4

The New England Patriots are 7-1 SU and 4-3-1 ATS in their last eight games against the Miami Dolphins and will try to head into the playoffs on a high note with another win over the Dolphins this Sunday at Gillette Stadium. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings between Miami and New England.

Miami is 0-4 SU and 1-2-1 ATS in its last four games against New England. The Dolphins are just 2-6 SU in their last eight games on the road.

View Miami vs New England Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
On the opening line for this matchup, the Patriots sat as 11-point favorites at shops such as 5Dimes. The total, meanwhile, has been pegged by the oddsmakers at GTbets.eu at 49.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Patriots sit at No. 5 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Dolphins are at No. 25 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Patriots will win this game 37-24.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New England's No. 1-ranked offense (35.3 PPG) against a Dolphins defense that ranks No. 6 at 19.3 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 292.4 yards per game, more than the Dolphins give up through the air (246.5 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Dolphins own the league's No. 9-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 95.4 yards per game when on the road. New England, on the other hand, rates No. 8 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Last time out for Miami, they were a 24-10 winner as they battled the Bills at home. The Dolphins covered in the match as a 5-point favorite, while 34 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Ryan Tannehill passed for 2 touchdowns in his team's last game in leading the Dolphins past Buffalo 24-10 on Sunday.

The Patriots were a 23-16 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Jaguars. They failed to cover the 14-point spread as favorites, while the total score (39) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Patriots's last action saw them get a 2-TD performance from Tom Brady as they handed Jacksonville a 23-16 loss at EverBank Field.

Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 5-5

New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in December are 9-1
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 9-1

A few Dolphins at Patriots trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing New England
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England's last 13 games