The New England Patriots have only one win vs the Redskins in 30 years, a 52-7 blowout back in 2007.
But it did not stop oddsmakers from opening them as 9-point road underdogs at Washington as a Week 14 NFL point spread. Indeed, the Pats are 8-2 ATS past 10 road games and 19-1 SU in their past 20 games in December.
But Redskin bettors can point to the Patriots' 1-5 ATS mark the past 6 times they were favored by 9 or more as evidence they pull off the cover.
The over is 7-1 the past 8 times Washington was a dog of 9 or more points. The Redskins are also 0-6 ATS in their past 6 games vs AFC East teams. See the latest over under number at BetOnline before kickoff.
Washington opened as 7-point underdogs, while the NFL total was set at 48 for over under betting. Expect the best Redskins underdog line to be at which just revolutionized online poker, check it out.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Redskins rated this week at No. 23 and the Patriots sitting at No. 12. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 32-18 result in favor of the Patriots this week.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Washington's No. 27-ranked offense (16.8 PPG) against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 13 at 20.6 PPG. The Redskins passing attack has averaged 233.3 yards per game, less than the Patriots give up through the air (310 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Patriots feature the league's No. 8-rated road run defense, allowing 103 yards per game. Washington, meanwhile, ranks No. 31 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for New England, they were a 31-24 winner as they battled the Colts at home. The Patriots failed to cover in the match as a 20-point favorite, while 55 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Wes Welker hauled in 11 passes for 114 yards against the Indianapolis defense in the team's last game, leading New England over the Colts 31-24 on Sunday.
The Redskins were a 34-19 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Jets. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (53) made winners of OVER bettors.
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in December are 9-1
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2
Washington Redskins Trends:
When playing in December are 2-8
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 4-6
A few Patriots at Redskins trends to consider:
New England is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
New England is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of New England's last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England's last 15 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games at home
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
New England at Denver, Sunday, December 18
Washington at NY Giants, Sunday, December 18