Call it a surprising trend, but the Jacksonville Jaguars have been a terrific bet when they visit Pittsburgh over the years.
The Jags are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in their past 6 trips to face the Steelers. And they get 14 points from oddsmakers who seem to believe the Steelers are back after their Week 5 thumping of Tennessee.
Jacksonville meanwhile has lost four in a row, sits at 1-4 ATS for the season, and is 0-5 ATS in their past five games as a dog of 9 or more points.
The Jaguars opened as 9.5-point underdogs at sportsbooks but the number was quickly bet all the way up to +13.5. The NFL wagering total was listed at 38.5 early in the week at BetOnline but sat at 40.5 at 5Dimes by Friday.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Steelers rated this week at No. 7 and the Jaguars sitting at No. 26. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 21-7 result in favor of the Steelers this week.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Pittsburgh's No. 23-ranked offense (20.4 PPG) against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 12 at 23 PPG. The Steelers passing attack has averaged 263.8 yards per game, more than the Jaguars give up through the air (215.4 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Jaguars own the league's No. 14-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 104 yards per game when on the road. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, rates No. 3 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
In their last action, Jacksonville was a 30-20 loser at home against the Bengals. They failed to cover the 2.5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (50) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Jason Hill hauled in 5 passes for 118 yards against the Cincinnati defense in the team's last game, but the result was a 30-20 loss against the Bengals on Sunday.
In their last action, Pittsburgh was a 38-17 winner at home against the Titans. They covered the 3.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (55) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Last time out, Ben Roethlisberger threw for 5 scores and 228 yards in leading his team past Tennessee at Heinz Field.
Jacksonville Jaguars Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 3-7
Pittsburgh Steelers Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 7-3
A few Jaguars at Steelers trends to consider:
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
Jacksonville home to Baltimore, Monday, October 24
Pittsburgh at Arizona, Sunday, October 23