NFL Odds: Week 10 Betting Trends
Is Aaron Rodgers really worth 10 points? That's what was revealed across the airwaves this week when it was announced he would be sidelined for at least three weeks with a broken collarbone, and would be replaced by Seneca Wallace.
And because of this the Packers went from being a 10-point favorite at most places for their game on Sunday at home against Philadelphia to a pick'em at 5Dimes.
Whether or not you can decide which the better team is, and if the Packers can succeed without Rodgers, perhaps looking at the total would be a safer choice. Eight of the last nine meetings, dating back to 2000, have stayed under the posted total - including five straight.
After a scare from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Seattle Seahawks head south to face another team from the NFC South, laying -7 points in Atlanta to the Falcons. The Seahawks have lost four in a row to Atlanta, and each of those games played over the posted number. The Falcons are mired in a 1-5 ATS slide against NFC West teams, and conversely the Seahawks are in on a 5-1 ATS run against NFC South teams.
Surprising Carolina heads across the country to take on the 49ers, who are -7 in a potential playoff preview if both keep playing the way they've been the past month. Carolina arrives in the Bay Area on a 13-2 ATS run against the Niners, who are 1-7 ATS all time when hosting the Panthers. Carolina is riding a perfect 6-0 ATS streak as a road underdog into Frisco, but the Niners are on a 6-2 ATS run when laying points at home. Confused what to do yet? Maybe the total is the way to go, as San Francisco is 12-1 to the OVER following a bye week, and the high number is on a 12-2 win streak when these two meet.
Finally, in the AFC West clash between the Broncos and Chargers in San Diego, Denver is -7.5 and comes in rested after a bye week. And make note, the Broncos are on a 10-2 ATS run following their bye week. They're also on a 9-3 spread streak on the AFC West road dating back to 2008. The Chargers, meanwhile, are on a 9-2 ATS streak as a home pup but are mired in a 1-5 ATS slide when hosting divisional games.