NFL Odds: Week 8 Movement
Unlike last week which saw a lot of opening lines remain fairly stagnant throughout the week, Week 8’s lines have seen plenty of movement. It was another winning week for underdogs at 9-5 ATS last week; are favorites due for a big week of their own?
Bettors of the New York Jets and New England Patriots hope so.
New York opened the week at -4.5 and were quickly bet down to -6.0 at home against Green Bay. Coach Rex Ryan has had the bye week to prepare for Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay’s passing attack, and he’ll have his best weapon in Darrelle Revis 100% healthy as well. The Jets are a worthy favorite, but late money may still come in on Green Bay; all three of their losses this season have been by only three points each.
New England’s opening line of -4.0 at home against Minnesota was bet down to -5.0 with news of Brett Favre’s ankle injury early in the week. Favre’s status is still unclear, but even when he’s been healthy this season, it has been a rocky road for Minnesota.
The biggest line movement of the week came on the Oakland Raiders, who opened as a 2-point underdog at home against Seattle and are now a 2.5-point favorite. Bettors seem to be considering the Raiders’ 59-14 dominating win over Denver last week a turning point in their season. Seattle has the better record at 4-2, but are 1-2 on the road.
New Orleans opened at -1.0 at home against Pittsburgh, and it is no surprise that early bettors took that point and moved the line to a pick’em. Pittsburgh struggled with Miami last week but came away with the win, while New Orleans fell victim to the biggest upset of the year, losing outright to Cleveland as 12.5-point underdogs.
Bettors have also taken the points on Miami this week, who opened at +3.0 at Cincinnati but are down to +2.0. Cincinnati is 2-4 this season and has lost three straight games, while Miami put up a great fight last week against what many would consider the league’s best team in Pittsburgh.
Detroit opened at -1.5 and is now -2.5 at home against Washington. It is a bit surprising that a 1-5 team is favored over a 4-3 playoff contender coming off of a win, but bettors seem to believe that Matthew Stafford’s return will lead Detroit to a win.
San Diego’s move from -4.0 to -3.5 at home against Tennessee was expected, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the line moved down to -3.0 before game time. San Diego has struggled mightily this season, while Tennessee looks like a playoff team.