NFL Odds: Week 9 Betting Trends
Just how good are these Cincinnati Bengals? Coach Marvin Lewis' group that appeared on HBO's Hard Knocks is certainly living up to the billing the show presented prior to the season, as the AFC North leaders step on to the field Thursday night to kick off Week 9 on a bit of a tear.
Meanwhile their hosts - the Miami Dolphins - have been slumping.
At 5Dimes, Cincinnati is laying -3 points to the Fins, a line that seems somewhat like a gift. While the Bengals have won four in a row and receive a bye next week, Miami has followed three season-opening victories with four straight losses. (See Week 9 NFL trends on every game at bottom of this article).
At the books, however, the tale is told differently, and it's the boys out of South Beach who seem like the value play. Miami has won 10 of its last 12 meetings with the Bengals, who have failed to cover in 9 of those 12 games, dating back to 1980.
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On Sunday, the league's lone remaining undefeated team, the Kansas City Chiefs, are laying a field goal (-3) in Buffalo to the Bills. The Chiefs, and their fifth-ranked defense overall, are in a terrible ATS rut against Buffalo, having failed to cover 8 of the last 9 meetings. In addition, the Bills are a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS when hosting Kansas City, dating back to 1986.
On one positive note for Coach Andy Reid's Chiefs, they have won and covered three straight as the road chalk. Also make note, 8 of the last 11 meetings have played under.
In a pivotal NFC South clash, the surprising second-place Carolina Panthers are up to -9 against the third-place Atlanta Falcons. While the big black cats have covered 5 of 6 in NFC South play, the Dirty Birds have covered 7 of 9 in this series.
The defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens find themselves spiraling in the AFC North, sitting 2.5 games back of the Bengals, and just half a game in front of this week's opponent: Cleveland. The Ravens, who are laying 2.5 to their host, are on an astounding 10-1 ATS run following a bye week. Conversely, the Browns have lost 5 of 6 to the books before a bye week.
Teams coming off a bye week: Chicago Bears, Tennessee Titans, Indianapolis Colts, San Diego Chargers, Baltimore Ravens, Houston Texans
Teams heading into a bye week: Cleveland Browns, Kansas City Chiefs, New England Patriots, New York Jets
Thursday - Cincinnati at Miami
Miami is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
Bengals 3-9 ATS vs Miami since 1980
Kansas City -4.5 at Buffalo 41.5
Chiefs 1-8 ATS past nine games vs Bills
Eight of past 11 meetings played UNDER the total
Bills 6-0 SU & ATS at home vs Chiefs since 1986
Chiefs won and covered three straight as road chalk
Atlanta 46 at Carolina -7
Falcons 7-2 SU past nine games vs Panthers
Panthers 5-1 ATS past six games within the division
Minnesota 47 at Dallas -10
Vikings 7-1 SU and ATS past eight games vs Dallas
Cowboys won and covered three straight as home chalk
New Orleans -3.5 at NY Jets 44
Jets OVER is 9-2 past 11 seasons before a bye week
Jets 6-2 ATS past 8 seasons prior to bye week
Saints 6-1 ATS vs Jets since 1986
Tennessee -3 at St. Louis 43
Four of the past five meetings played OVER the total
Titans 1-8 ATS past nine games as road favorites
OVER is 6-1 past seven Rams home games
Rams 6-2-1 ATS past nine games as home underdog
San Diego at Washington
Chargers 1-4 ATS past 5 seasons after a bye week
Chargers 5-1-1 ATS past seven road games
Redskins just 2-9 SU at home in November since 2006
Philadelphia -2.5 at Oakland
Eagles 1-5 ATS vs Oakland since 1986
Raiders played six straight UNDERS as home dog
Tampa Bay 41.5 at Seattle -16
Seven of eight meetings since 1986 played UNDER the total
Seahawks 19-6 ATS past 25 games as home favorite
Seahawks 10-3-1 ATS past 14 games as double-digit home chalk
Bucs 6-1 ATS past seven games as double-digit road underdogs
Baltimore -2.5 at Cleveland 40
Ravens 10-1 ATS past 11 seasons after a bye week
Browns 1-5 ATS past 6 seasons before a bye week
Ravens played five straight UNDERs as road favorite
Pittsburgh 42.5 at New England -6.5
Steelers 3-8 ATS past 11 games vs Patriots
Patriots 4-12 ATS at home in November since 2006
Indianapolis at Houston
Colts OVER is 9-2 past 11 post-bye week games
Texans UNDER is 8-1 past 9 seasons after a bye week
Texans 8-2 ATS past 10 at home vs Colts
Past five meetings all played UNDER the total
UNDER is 13-1 past 14 Colts games vs division foes
Chicago 49 at Green Bay -8
Bears 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS past five games at Lambeau
Chicago 7-3-1 ATS past 11 MNF
Packers 4-1 ATS past 5 MNF home games
Packers 8-0 ATS past eight as home favorite
Packers 12-1 ATS past 13 division games
Bears 1-6-1 ATS past eight games within NFC North