NFL Prop Betting Roundup
Quarterbacks are the top draw for NFL prop bettors this weekend, led by Ben Roethlisberger as he tries to lead the Steelers back to the Super Bowl.
Big Ben will be in tough this weekend against a strong Jets defense that has a very good secondary bolstered by the cornerback tandem of Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie. At Bovada the oddsmakers are expecting Roethlisberger to still air the ball out a lot after setting his passing yards prop total at 240.5.
Last week against the Ravens, Roethlisberger posted 226 passing yards, which was down from the 266.7 yards per game he averaged during the regular season. When Roethlisberger led the Steelers against the Jets in Week 15 he put 264 yards on the board. Last week the Jets did find a way to keep Tom Brady from beating them, but he still passed for 299 yards. We expect a similar performance from Big Ben so we'll take the OVER
Opposing Roethlisberger for the Jets will be Mark Sanchez. His passing yards prop total at Bovada is much lower at 205.5 yards, which is dead on with the 205.7 yards per game he averaged during the regular season. So far during the Jets' playoff run Sanchez hasn't eclipsed the 200-yard mark with 189 yards versus the Colts and 194 against the Patriots. If he could only muster that against the mediocre defenses of Indy and New England we wouldn't expect much more against the stout Pittsburgh D. We'll take the UNDER here.
In the NFC title game Aaron Rodgers has been handed a passing yards prop total of 260.5 at Bovada. Even though Rodgers has the highest posted total of all this weekend's quarterbacks the OVER is favored at -120. That's because Rodgers averaged 261.5 yards per game during the season and he's averaged 273 yards per game in the playoffs so far.
Against the Bears this season Rodgers torched Chicago for 316 yards in Week 3, but only had 229 yards in Week 17. With the Packers having no running game Rodgers will pass a lot this weekend, so we expect a performance more in line with Week 3. Take the OVER.
Chicago's QB Jay Cutler is listed with a 225.5-yard total at Bovada this weekend. The UNDER is the favorite at -125. Cutler put up a big 274 yards last week versus Seattle, but that likely won't happen this weekend against Green Bay. Versus the Packers this season Cutler was held to 221 yards in Week 3 and 168 yards in Week 17. In his last nine games Cutler topped 225 yards only twice and the chances of him adding another one this weekend against a Packers defense that ranks No. 5 versus the pass looks near impossible. Take the UNDER.