NFL Props: Wild Card Weekend
Will the two regular season rematches on the Wild Card Weekend schedule give NFL prop bettors some insight when making their weekend wagers?
Saturday's Saints at Seahawks matchup is a rematch from Week 11. New Orleans cruised to a 34-19 victory as an 11-point home favorite in that contest. If this weekend's game mirrors that initial matchup at all bettors could clean up on prop bets at Bovada.
The Bovada oddsmakers haven't filled their pages with props from this game, but they have touched on the basics with Drew Brees, Reggie Bush, and the Seahawks QBs. For Brees the oddsmakers delivered a passing yards prop with the total set at 295.5 yards. The OVER is a slight favorite at -125. The OVER looks like a near-lock, too. Brees averaged 288.8 passing yards per game this season, and back in Week 11 he torched Seattle for 382 yards.
Figuring out how to go on the Bush props may not be as easy. Bush missed most of the season with a broken leg and was sidelined when the Saints and Seahawks clashed in Week 11. The Bovada prop on Bush is combined rushing and receiving yards, with the total set at 82.5. Again the OVER is favored at -130 and looks like the way to go. In his shortened season Bush only averaged a combined 44 rushing and receiving yards per game, but with Chris Ivory and Pierre Thomas both on IR Bush will be the feature back for New Orleans this weekend. That should mean a heavier workload and an easy OVER for bettors.
For Seahawks props the Bovada oddsmakers covered themselves by simply putting down Seattle quarterbacks, because earlier in the week it had not been announced if Matt Hasselbeck or Charlie Whitehurst would get the start. According to the latest from Pete Carroll it will be Hasselbeck, which basically means his passing yards total at Bovada is 220.5 On the season Hasselbeck averaged 214.5 passing yards per game, but against New Orleans in Week 11 he put up 366 yards. Because of Hasselbeck's Week 11 output, and the fact that the prop is listed as “Seattle quarterbacks”, we'll take the OVER. Remember, even if the often-injured Hasselback gets hurt Whitehurst's yards still count toward the prop.
In this weekend's other regular season rematch, Green Bay at Philadelphia, the key NFL props are quarterback props for Aaron Rodgers and Michael Vick. In Week 1 the Packers defeated the Eagles 27-20 as a 3-point road favorite.
For Rodgers the Bovada oddsmakers have set his passing yards total at 265.5. Against the Eagles in Week 1 Rodgers' passing numbers were down with only 188 passing yards, well below his 261.5 passing yards per game average. The Eagles' defense is giving up only 216.8 passing yards per game this season, so we'll take the UNDER on Rodgers.
For the elusive Vick there are NFL props for passing yards and rushing yards. When looking at his Week 1 numbers you have to remember that he didn't start that game and entered in the first quarter when Kevin Kolb got hurt. Vick's numbers the rest of the way were 175 passing yards and 103 rushing yards. If Vick can average similar stats over an entire game the OVER on both his passing prop total (250.5) and his rushing prop total (50.5) look like winners.