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Nover: QBs the Key For Road Favorites

By Wednesday afternoon it was official. The marketplace had received enough significant money to turn the Packers into a favorite against Washington. Now, for the first time, all four road teams are favored in the NFL Wild Card Playoffs.

How can this be?

Simple, the quarterbacks. Bettors don't trust Houston's Brian Hoyer, Cincinnati's AJ McCarron, Minnesota's Teddy Bridgewater, or Washington's Kirk Cousins. Not when their opposing quarterbacks are Alex Smith, Ben Roethlisberger, Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers. All of those quarterbacks have playoff experience with Roethlisberger, Wilson and Rodgers in elite status.

History is against road chalk. According to research compiled by The Gold Sheet, home underdogs in the Wild Card Playoff round are 13-5-2 against the spread (ATS).

Chiefs ride 10-Game Win Streak into Playoffs

The Chiefs have won 10 in a row. So they are minus three with heavy juice attached against the Texans. Never mind that Houston has won seven of its last nine, has the best defensive player in the NFL in J.J. Watt and a top-five wide receiver, DeAndre Hopkins.

Kansas City coach Andy Reid has lost and failed to cover the past four times he's led his team into the playoffs, three coming with Philadelphia and the last occurring two years ago with the Chiefs blowing a 28-point lead against Indianapolis.

Pittsburgh likely wouldn't be a 2.5-point favorite against the Bengals if Andy Dalton were starting. Yet Dalton has been one of the worst playoff quarterbacks of all-time going 0-4 the previous four seasons. Dalton's average quarterback rating in his four playoff games is 28.6 with a touchdown-to-interception ratio of one-to-six.

Vikings to Fall Victim to a Red-Hot Wilson?

Bridgewater played his finest ball down the stretch for Minnesota, but no quarterback was hotter than Wilson. He threw 24 touchdowns in his last six games with only one interception. Minnesota, though, has covered nine of its last 11 home games and is 9-1 ATS as a home 'dog.

Cousins is getting disrespected with the line move towards the Packers. Cousins had a better season than Rodgers with a higher quarterback rating and more passing yards. The Packers haven't been this disjointed on offense during Mike McCarthy's 10 seasons as coach.

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