NFL Trends: Wild Card Weekend
Last season the Colts ended the Jets' postseason journey. According to the trends, New York's playoff run will end against Indianapolis again this season.
The Jets and Colts clashed in the AFC Championship Game last season and Indianapolis rolled over New York 30-17 as a 7.5-point favorite on the NFL odds. In this weekend's rematch the Colts are a 3-point home favorite at Bovada.
New York had a pretty good regular season on the road at 5-3 ATS. They haven't been as good away from home in the playoffs, though, with a 3-4 SU record in their last seven road postseason games.
ADVERTISEMENT: Did you know that AFC road teams are 4-0 ATS the past two Wild Card weekends? If that continues, betting underdogs could be the way to go and the best underdogs odds are usually found at Bovada.
The Colts are almost a lock at home in the postseason, and in their last five playoff games at home they are 4-1 SU and ATS. Indy was also 6-2 SU at Lucas Oil Stadium this season, and they are 5-2 SU in their last seven home games against the Jets.
The longest playoff drought from this year's postseason teams belongs to the Chiefs. Kansas City hasn't won in the playoffs since 1993, and they've dropped six postseason games in a row. This weekend they're a 3-point home underdog versus Baltimore at Bovada. If the trends hold up their losing streak could continue.
Kansas City was superb at home during the regular season at 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS. In their last two postseason games at home the Chiefs are 0-2 both ATS and SU. The Ravens were 12-4 this season with three of those losses coming on the road.
However, in the postseason Baltimore has delivered on the road with a 3-1 record in their last four and a 6-3 mark in their last nine. Five of those six wins came as the underdog.
ADVERTISEMENT: Never tried live betting? The thrill of betting on who will score next and betting on changing point spreads provides great profit potential. Check out Sports Interaction for the details and details of a $125 bonus for new players!
Also on tap on Wild Card Weekend are two regular-season rematches between the Saints and Seahawks and the Packers and Eagles. Many are predicting a Green Bay upset and the trends have not been favorable to NFC home teams on Wild Card weekend, as they have bled bankrolls to the tune of 3-9 ATS the past 12 games.
Seattle may have gone 7-9 this season, but they still earned a home playoff game by winning their division title. Five of those wins came at home this season, and they were also 5-2 ATS at Qwest Field. [ Bet the defending champion Saints with the best favorite odds at 5Dimes now and qualify for a 50% bonus ]
The Seahawks faced the Saints in New Orleans in Week 11 and got routed 34-19 as an 11-point underdog. In the rematch the Seahawks are a 10.5-point underdog at Bovada, which doesn't bode well for Seattle. In their last seven games as an 8.5-point underdog or higher Seattle is 0-7 SU and ATS.
The Packers and Eagles began the season in Philadelphia in Week 1 where Green Bay won 27-20 as a 3-point favorite. In this weekend's rematch the Eagles are a 3-point home favorite at Bovada.
Green Bay had a rough time on the road this season at 3-5 SU and ATS. The Eagles weren't exactly stellar at home either, at 4-4 SU and ATS.
In the playoffs the Eagles have won four in a row at home and they're 5-1 SU in their last six – but only 3-3 ATS. The Packers are as bad on the road in the postseason as they are in the regular season with an 0-2 mark in their last two away from Lambeau Field.
Also worth noting is that before the Eagles' Week 1 loss to the Packers at home they had won five in a row against the Packers at home and seven of eight while going 6-2 ATS.