NFL Week 10 Betting Trends
The Seahawks and Cardinals are both riding short losing streaks, but one of them is bound to put up a win this weekend when the NFC West foes clash in Arizona.
Despite the Seahawks' .500 record and the Cardinals' lame 3-5 mark both teams are still contenders in the horrible NFC West. Their matchup was kept off the board early in the week due to the unknown status of Seattle QB Matt Hasselbeck, but whatever the odds turn out to be for this one the trends are telling us to take Arizona and the OVER.
The trends basically tell us two things. First, the Cardinals have dominated the Seahawks for a few seasons now. Second, Seattle is one of the worst road teams in the entire NFL.
Let's go over that first point first. In their last eight matchups the Cardinals are a solid 6-2 SU and ATS against the Seahawks. At home in Arizona the Cards have won four straight against Seattle, and they covered the spread in all four wins. The recent history is pretty clearly on the Cardinals' side.
ADVERTISEMENT: Some of the clearest betting trends of Week 10 happen in Atlanta Thursday - the Ravens always cover, the game always goes UNDER - check out the latest Ravens Falcons odds at Bovada today.
That second point can be summed up even quicker: The Seahawks are 1-3 both SU and ATS on the road this season, and in their last 13 games away from home Seattle is a miserable 2-11 SU and ATS. The Seattle hometown crowd is called the Seahawks' 12th Man, and the team doesn't do well without that thunderous noise behind them.
Totals bettors may have a lock in the OVER in this game on Sunday. The last six times the Seahawks and Cardinals have met in Arizona the combined scores have all gone OVER the total. The Cardinals have been a solid OVER play all season with an OVER/UNDER record of 6-2, which includes a 4-0 OVER/UNDER mark at home.
Totals bettors might also be thinking about betting the OVER this weekend when Philadelphia visits Washington. After all, the Eagles have posted four straight OVER results, while Washington is 2-1 to the OVER in their last three games.
The trends tell a different story, though, and if you bet the OVER on Sunday you're likely looking at a losing bet. When Philadelphia and Washington clash it usually isn't a big score-fest; in the last nine meetings between the NFC East rivals the UNDER is 6-3. Go back even further and you'll find that the UNDER is 10-4 in their last 14 contests.
In Washington, where the Eagles and Redskins will play on Sunday, the trend is even more prevalent. The UNDER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings at Washington, and a solid 15-5 in the last 20. Don't be fooled into betting the OVER when all the winners will be betting the UNDER on Sunday for that matchup.
More NFL Week 10 Trends - courtesy of Bovada
Baltimore at Atlanta Ravens 7-0 ATS past 7 vs Atlanta
Past 7 meetings all played UNDER total
New England at Pittsburgh Patriots 7-2 ATS past 9 vs Steelers
Past 4 meetings here all played OVER total
St. Louis at San Francisco Cards 2-7 ATS past 9 games at San Francisco
UNDER is 7-1 past 8 meetings of SF/STL
Dallas at NY Giants OVER is 7-2 past 9 meetings at NYG
Cowboys 3-9-1 ATS past 13 vs NYG
Seattle at Arizona Seahawks played 6 straight OVERs at Arizona
Cards 5-1 ATS past 6 home vs Seahawks
Kansas City at Denver Broncos 8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS past 9 home to KC
Chiefs 7-3 ATS past 10 Nov road games
Carolina at Tampa Bay Panthers 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS past 7 trips to TB
Bucs 5-13 ATS past 18 games vs Carolina
Tennessee at Miami Titans won & covered 5 straight Nov on road
Teams have played 9 straight UNDERs here
Houston at Jacksonville UNDER is 8-2-1 past 11 Hou Nov road games
Jags lost 4 in a row SU & ATS home in Nov
Cincinnati at Indianapolis Bengals 0-6 SU, 1-5 ATS past 6 vs Colts
Colts 7-0 SU, 1-6 ATS past 7 Nov home games
NY Jets at Cleveland Jets 7-3 ATS past 10 as fave of 8+ points
Road team won and covered 3 of past 4 meetings
Minnesota at Chicago Vikes 1-8 SU, 2-6-1 ATS past 9 trips to Chicago
Home team is 14-2 SU past 16 meetings
Detroit at Buffalo Lions 4-1 ATS vs Bills since 1991
4 of past 5 meetings played UNDER total
Philadelphia at Washington UNDER is 7-2 past 9 meetings at Wash
Eagles 3-8 ATS past 11 games vs Redskins