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NFL Week 11 Betting Primer

Miami Dolphins Football

After having a bit of a comeback in Weeks 8 and 9, favorites were barking up the wrong tree last week as underdogs covered the spread in 10 of the 14 games, winning nine of them straight up. It was the best week underdogs have had all season and pushed their overall record to 75-64-8 ATS. 

If you were on a lot of favorites last week, it's time to get even. That greasy bookie is likely planning on using his Week 10 profits toward a hair restoration procedure, but we're going to crush his dream of having a thick mane of hair, put him out of business and make sure he's bald for the rest of his life. 

Below you'll find stats, traditional betting trends and other nuggets of pure gold to help you win in Week 11. Enjoy the action and have a blast chasing that paper!

Saints at Panthers
  • The Panthers have allowed an NFL-best 58 rushing yards per game over their last three games.
  • The Saints are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Panthers are 2-6-1 ATS as a favorite this season.
  • The Saints have allowed 22.7 points per game in their last three games after allowing 35.5 in their first six games.
  • The total has gone OVER in four straight games between these teams. They combined to score an average of 64.5 points in those games.
  • The visiting team is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games in this matchup.
  • The Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games at home.
  • The Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs other NFC South teams. The Panthers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine vs divisional opponents.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Drew Brees has thrown for 300 or more yards and three or more TDs in four of his last five games.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Cam Newton has scored at least one rushing TD in four of his last five games against the Saints.
Titans at Colts
  • At home, the Colts are allowing an NFL-worst 344.5 passing yards per game.
  • The last time the Titans won in Indianapolis was in 2007.
  • The Colts are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after a bye week.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the Titans' last 15 games on the road against the Colts.
  • The Titans are 1-15 SU and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against the Colts.
  • The Colts are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games in November.
  • The Colts are 18-4 SU in their last 22 games against their division.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Colts' last six games.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Titans' last seven games.
  • The Titans are 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 games against their division.
  • The Titans are 1-8 SU in their last nine games after a win.
  • *Fantasy Alert* DeMarco Murray has scored a TD in five straight games.
Bears at Giants
  • The Bears have lost five straight road games. The last time they lost six straight road games was in 2002.
  • The Giants have covered the spread in four straight games. The last time they covered in five straight was in 2012.
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Bears' last 12 games against the Giants.
  • The visiting team is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in its last nine games in this matchup.
  • The Bears are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games on the road. Four of those losses were by nine points or more.
  • The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after a loss.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Eli Manning has thrown for 3 or more TDs in his last three home games.
Bills at Bengals
  • The Bengals are averaging an NFL-best 167 rushing yards over their last three games.
  • The Bills are 10-3 SU and ATS in their last 13 games against the Bengals.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Bills' last seven games against the Bengals.
  • The Bills are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games on the road against the Bengals.
  • The Bengals are 22-7-1 SU in their last 30 games at home.
  • The Bills are 8-1 SU and 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games after consecutive losses.
  • Buffalo is 2-5-2 ATS in its last nine road games.
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Bills' last 10 games after a loss.
  • *Fantasy Alert* A.J. Green has scored at least one receiving TD in six of his last seven games at home.
Ravens at Cowboys
  • The Cowboys have won 8 straight games. The last time they won 9 straight was during their Super Bowl-winning 1971 season when they actually won 10 straight. They've won 8 straight games 4 previous times in franchise history. They made the Super Bowl in each of those seasons, winning it 3 times!
  • The Ravens are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Cowboys.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Cowboys' last eight games against the AFC.
  • The Ravens are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games on the road after failing to cover in their two most recent road games.
  • The Ravens are 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after consecutive wins.
Steelers at Browns
  • The Steelers have lost four straight games SU and ATS. The last time they lost five straight SU was in 2009. The last time they lost five straight ATS was in 2002.
  • The Steelers are 26-4 SU in their last 30 games against the Browns, with 17 of those wins by double digits.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Steelers' last seven games against the Browns.
  • The Browns are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games.
  • The Browns are 1-10 SU and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Steelers' last eight games on the road.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Antonio Brown has 560 receiving yards and four TDs in his last four games vs the Browns.
Buccaneers at Chiefs
  • The Buccaneers have allowed an NFL-worst 328 passing yards per game in their last three games.
  • Tampa Bay is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games.
  • The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
  • The Buccaneers are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last four games against the Chiefs.
  • The Chiefs are 11-0 SU in their last 11 games against teams with losing records and 16-0 SU in their last 16 games as a favorite.
  • The Chiefs are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games in November.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Chiefs' last seven games at home.
  • The Buccaneers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games in Week 11.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Mike Evans has scored at least one receiving TD in four straight road games.
Cardinals at Vikings
  • The Vikings have lost four straight games both SU and ATS. The last time they lost five straight both SU and ATS was in 1990.
  • The Vikings are averaging an NFL-worst 69.8 rushing yards per game.
  • Arizona has racked up an NFL-best 330 receiving yards per game over their last three games.
  • The Vikings are 19-6 ATS in their last 25 home games — 3-1 ATS at home this season.
  • The Cardinals are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games against the Vikings.
  • The Vikings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games at home against teams with losing records.
  • The Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with winning records.
  • The Cardinals are 5-0 SU in their last five games in November.
Dolphins at Rams
  • The Dolphins haven’t won consecutive road games in over two years — Oct. 19 and 26 in 2014.
  • Miami has won four consecutive games. The last time they won five straight was in 2008. The last time they won five straight that they also covered in was in 1993.
  • The Dolphins are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games against the Rams.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 16 of the Rams' last 21 games.
  • The Rams are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 11.
  • The Rams are 6-1 SU in their last seven games at home after losing their two most recent home games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Dolphins' last nine games in Week 11.
  • The Dolphins are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games on the road after winning their most recent road game.
  • The Rams are averaging an NFL-worst 9.7 points per game over their last three games and are also averaging an NFL-worst 12.7 points per game at home.
Jaguars at Lions
  • The Lions are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games after a bye.
  • Jacksonville is 2-19 SU in its last 21 road games, with 13 of those losses by seven points or more.
  • The favored team is 5-0 SU and ATS in its last five games in this matchup.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Lions' last 11 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Jaguars' last seven games on the road after covering in their most recent road game.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Allen Hurns has scored at least one receiving TD in seven of his last 10 games on the road.
Eagles at Seahawks
  • The Eagles are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four road games, losing by an average of 4.75 points.
  • Seattle is an amazing 17-3 ATS from Weeks 11 to 17 the past three seasons.
  • Seattle is averaging almost 10 more points per game in home games this season, while the Eagles are allowing opponents to score almost 15 more points per game on the road.
  • Seattle’s home O/U record combined with Philly’s road O/U record this season is 7-1-1.
  • The Eagles are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games against the Seahawks.
  • The visiting team is 7-1 SU and ATS in its last eight games in this matchup.
  • The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after winning as an underdog.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Eagles' last nine games on the road.
  • The Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on the road after failing to cover in their two most recent road games.
  • The Eagles are 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog of 4.5 or more.
Patriots at 49ers
  • The 49ers have allowed an NFL-worst 192.3 rushing yards per game over their last three games.
  • The 49ers are 2-7 ATS this season. In those seven losses, they’ve lost by an average of 16.3 points.
  • New England is 3-0 SU and ATS as a road favorite this season, winning by an average of 15.6 points.
  • The 49ers are 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the 49ers' last nine games as home underdogs.
  • The Patriots are 16-3 SU in their last 19 games after a loss.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Patriots' last five games as road favorites.
  • The 49ers already have five losses of more than 14 points this season, with two of those losses coming at home.
  • The Patriots are averaging an NFL-best 31 points per game on the road.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Tom Brady has thrown for 300 or more yards in six of his last seven games.
  • *Fantasy Alert* LeGarrette Blount has scored at least one rushing TD in his last four road games.
Packers at Redskins
  • The last time the Packers lost four consecutive games was in 2008.
  • The Packers’ road O/U record combined with the Redskins’ home O/U record is 8-1.
  • The Packers are 6-1 SU in their last seven games against the Redskins.
  • The Packers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games against the Redskins.
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of the Redskins' last 14 games.
  • The Redskins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as favorite.
  • The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog, but just 3-15 SU in their last 18 games as underdog.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Jordy Nelson has scored a TD in every Packers road game this season.
 Texans at Raiders
  • In road games, the Texans are averaging an NFL-worst 138.3 receiving yards per game.
  • The Raiders have covered the spread in four straight games after a bye week.
  • The Texans are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games on the road against the Raiders.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Raiders' last nine games.
  • The Raiders are 4-14 SU in their last 18 games after consecutive wins.
  • The Texans are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games after winning as an underdog.
  • In their last 30 games as a favorite, the Raiders are 8-21-1 ATS.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Latavius Murray has scored a TD in four straight games that the Raiders were favored in.

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