NFL Week 11 Betting Trends
Even if you never bet on NFL totals, this weekend presents an intriguing opportunity when the Packers and Vikings clash in Minnesota.
All the trends are pointing to an OVER result in this matchup. When the Packers and Vikings hook up inside in Minnesota it usually turns into a shootout, with a ton of points being scored. Just look at the trends. In the last 10 games between the Packers and Vikings in Minnesota the OVER is 8-1-1.
That's just the beginning. In the Packers' last 10 road games in the month of November the OVER is 7-2-1. Some may wonder if the inconsistent Vikings' offense is a risky OVER pick. Well, their 5-1 OVER record in their last six games should calm those fears.
ADVERTISEMENT: Trends continue to favor underdog bettors and there are lots of big spreads this week. The Bills have won 9 straight vs Cincy and the Raiders never cover after a BYE week - play the odds, win huge free contests and get a 40% bonus at Bovada.
If you're a spread bettor the Packers look like a smart pick as a 2.5-point underdog at Bovada. In their last nine games as the underdog the Packers sport a nice 7-1-1 record ATS. Some of you may point to the Vikings' nine-game winning streak at home versus NFC North opponents, but Minnesota is only 5-3-1 ATS in those nine wins.
The OVER also looks like a good betting option this weekend when the Giants and Eagles square off in Philadelphia. New York posted another OVER in their loss to Dallas last week, and they've gone OVER the total in four straight games. They're also a healthy 11-3 OU in their last 14 games.
A few other trends that point to an OVER this weekend include the Giants having posted eight straight OVER results versus NFC East opponents, and the Eagles having posted four straight OVER results prior to their Monday nighter against Washington.
If you're looking for an ATS upset this weekend think about Oakland at Pittsburgh. The Raiders are coming off their bye as a 9-point road underdog at Bovada. The Steelers have been killing bettors at home lately with a 2-5-1 ATS record in their last eight at Heinz Field.
In their last 11 games as a 9-point underdog or larger the Raiders are a solid 7-4 ATS. What about the last 11 games in which the Steelers were at least a 9-point favorite? 5-6 ATS.
For totals bettors this one looks like a nice UNDER pick. In the Raiders' last seven games following their bye week the UNDER is 6-1.
More Week 11 NFL Trends:
Chicago vs Miami
Road team won 4 of past 5 meetings
Dolphins 3-11 ATS past 14 Nov. home games
Houston vs NY Jets
Texans 0-4 SU & ATS career vs Jets
All 4 past meetings went UNDER total
Washington vs Tennessee
Redskins 1-6 ATS vs Titans since 1985
Past 4 meetings all played OVER total
Buffalo vs Cincinnati
Bills 9-0 SU, 8-1 ATS past 9 vs Cincy
6 of past 7 meetings played OVER total
Cleveland vs Jacksonville
Browns won past 2 meetings by same 23-17 score
Browns 7-3 ATS past 10 road games
Green Bay vs Minnesota
Packers UNDER is 4-1 past 5 seasons after BYE week
OVER is 8-1-1 past 10 meetings at Minny
Oakland vs Pittsburgh
OVER is 7-1-1 past 9 Steeler games as favorites
Oakland 0-7 ATS past 7 games after a BYE week
Oakland UNDER is 6-1 past 7 post-BYE week games
Baltimore vs Carolina
Ravens 0-3 SU & ATS career vs Panthers
UNDER 9-2-1 past 12 Raven road games
under IS 8-1 past 9 Carolina home games
Detroit vs Dallas
Lions lost 20 straight road games
Cowboys played 5 straight home OVERs
Arizona vs Kansas City
Chiefs 6-2 SU vs Cards since 1980
OVER is 6-1 past 7 KC Nov home games
Tampa Bay vs San Francisco
UNDER is 11-3 past 14 meetings
Bucs lost 8 straight SU at SF since 1983
Seattle vs New Orleans
6 of past 8 meetings played UNDER total
Seahawks 3-11 ATS past 14 road games
Atlanta vs St. Louis
Home team 7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS past 7 meetings
Falcons 16-2 SU past 18 games as favorite
Indianapolis vs New England - Get a $125 bonus at Sports Interaction
OVER is 7-1 past 8 Colts road games
Colts 9-3 ATS past 12 games as underdog
Pats 13-1 SU past 14 home games
OVER is 7-1 past 8 Pats games as favorite
Denver vs San Diego
Broncos 1-6-1 ATS past 8 vs Chargers
OVER is 7-2 past 9 SD home games
SD just 3-7 ATS past 10 as dog of 8+ points