NFL Week 11 Odds: Mismatch Outlook
While there is just one major mismatch highlighting the NFL card for Week 11, according to this week's OddsShark.com Power Rankings, there are several others with significant enough disparity to mention.
The biggest mismatch will take place in Seattle, where the No. 3 Seahawks are hosting No. 30 Minnesota. The 'Hawks are laying -13 at Bovada, and appear to be in a good spot to potentially dominate thanks to the third-ranked defense in the league. Seattle's second-ranked pass defense could spell trouble for Minnesota quarterback Christian Ponder, who suffered a dislocated shoulder last week versus Washington. Though it was his non-throwing shoulder, the discomfort will make things difficult against a team that ranks fifth in the NFL with 31 sacks.
Seattle running back Marshawn Lynch, ranked second in the league in yards rushing, has been on fire of late, and comes in after his two best games of the season. After rushing for 125 yards two weeks ago against Tampa Bay, Lynch rumbled for 145 on 24 carries and one touchdown in Atlanta. Couple that with quarterback Russell Wilson's passing game and the Vikings' 30th-ranked defense could be in big trouble.
The four additional mismatches that are tightly bunched together with discrepancies ranging between 11 and 15 slots in the power rankings are No. 6 Cincinnati (-6) vs. No. 21 Cleveland, No. 8 Green Bay (+6) at the 22nd-ranked New York Giants, No. 20 Arizona (-7) at No. 32 Jacksonville, and 13th-ranked San Diego (-1.5) in Miami against the 24th-ranked Dolphins.
The eye-opening line of the quartet is Green Bay catching points, but it is also understandable as the Giants have suddenly caught fire, having won three straight, and Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is sidelined with a broken collarbone.
As for the consensus plays at OddsShark, the Saints are the No. 1 choice by the pollsters, with 70 percent choosing Who Dat over the visiting 49ers. Next up, just behind at 69 percent, are the Colts laying -3 at Tennessee on Thursday, followed closely by 67 percent taking the Chargers in Miami, the Chiefs +8 (66 percent) in Denver, and 65 percent on the Cardinals in Jacksonville.