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NFL Week 12 Opening Odds Analysis

The pubic has long held a fascination with the Dallas Cowboys. No matter how many mediocre seasons - like only five playoff seasons during the last 14 years - and noxious players such as Greg Hardy, Dez Bryant and Joseph Randle, the Cowboys draw major attention.
 
Apparently this awe extends to oddsmakers and bookmakers since they opened 3-7 Dallas as a pick'em at home versus unbeaten Carolina for Thursday's Thanksgiving Day matchup.
 
Does anyone believe the Cowboys are as good as the Panthers even at home and with Tony Romo back? Cam Newton has accounted for 38 touchdowns in his last 15 games. The Panthers have won 14 of those games. Carolina has outgained 15 of its last 17 opponents. The Panthers rank first in takeaways/giveaways with a plus 13 ratio. Dallas is 31st at minus nine.
 
Early action has pushed the Panthers up to 1.5-point favorites at some books.

Jaguars Favorites Hosting the Chargers
 

It takes a combination of being at home and going against a terrible team for Jacksonville to be installed as a four-point favorite. But that's the case Sunday with the Jaguars hosting 2-8 San Diego. The Chargers have lost six in a row. Jacksonville has won three of its last four games, covering all four.
 
Only once in their last 75 games have the Jaguars been higher than a field goal favorite and that was against Tennessee in their second-to-last game of last season when they also were laying four at home.

Browns a Rare Favorite Against Ravens
 

Cleveland is a 2.5-point home favorite against Baltimore in a quarterback matchup of Josh McCown versus Matt Schaub. Unfortunately this is the Monday night game so it can not be flexed out.

The last time the Browns were favored against Baltimore was 2008 when Romeo Crennel was coach. Cleveland has had four head coaches since.
 
Tennessee has lost 10 home games in a row. So it's not a shock to see Oakland road chalk for the second straight week. The Raiders are laying two points to the Titans. The Raiders lost to the Lions last Sunday dropping their record to 6-21 against the spread the past 27 times when favored.

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