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NFL Week 13 Betting Primer

Miami Dolphins Football

Headed into Week 13 we're starting to see a lot of trends even out as underdogs are now 86-80-11 ATS on the season while home teams are 86-83-8 ATS. One spot that's slowed down significantly the past two weeks is straight-up underdog wins as we've seen just five the past two weeks after an average of six per week in the season's first 10 weeks. With nine games having a spread hovering at 3.5 points or less this week, we might see an uptick in outright wins by dogs so don't shy away from showing them some love with your moneyline wagers.

Now then, on to the nuggets that are making bookies' profits plummet. Betting with your gut will make you sick, so before placing a bet this week, check out our trends and stats for each game on the Week 13 schedule. Enjoy the action this week, and as John Cena would say, Never Give Up!

Cowboys at Vikings
  • The Cowboys are averaging 30.2 points per game on the road — second-best in the NFL.
  • The Vikings are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games,  the best home ATS record in the NFL over that span.
  • During the Vikings' first five games they allowed just 12.6 points per game. Since then, they’ve allowed 21.5 points per game.
  • The Cowboys are 5-0 SU and ATS on the road this season, with a winning margin of 11 points.
  • The Cowboys are 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS in their last nine games against the Vikings.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Cowboys' last eight games against the Vikings.
  • The Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after losing the previous game in a matchup.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Vikings' last 10 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Cowboys' last 10 games on the road.
  • The Cowboys are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games as favorite.
  • The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games on Thursday.
Rams at Patriots
  • The Rams are allowing an NFL-high 148.7 rushing yards per game over their last three games.
  • The Patriots are 19-8-3 ATS in their last 30 home games. Fifteen of those wins were by 14 points or more.
  • The Patriots are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games as a double-digit favorite (-14 in each of those games).
  • The Rams are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four road games as a double-digit underdog.
  • The Rams are 0-4 SU in their last four games against the Patriots.
  • The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Patriots.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Patriots' last eight games at home.
  • The Patriots are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 13.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the Rams' last 16 games on the road.
  • The Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog of 14.0 or more.
49ers at Bears
  • The 49ers are 1-14 SU and 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. Twelve of those losses were by seven points or more.
  • The 49ers are allowing 36.4 points per game on the road.
  • The Bears are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
  • The 49ers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against the Bears.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the 49ers' last nine games against the Bears.
  • The Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games at home against teams with losing records.
  • The Bears are 3-13 SU in their last 16 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the 49ers' last seven games on the road against teams with losing records.
  • The 49ers are 0-9 SU and 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games as underdog.
  • The 49ers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games in December.
Broncos at Jaguars
  • Denver is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine December road games.
  • The favored team is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games in this matchup.
  • The Broncos are 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in their last four games against the Jaguars.
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of the Jaguars' last 17 games after a loss.
  • The Jaguars are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 13.
  • The Broncos are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games on the road against teams with losing records.
  • The Broncos are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite of 4.5 or less.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Broncos' last 10 games against the AFC South.
Chiefs at Falcons
  • The Falcons are leading the NFL with an average of 34.6 points per game at home.
  • Kansas City is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last four road games.
  • The favored team is 6-1 SU and ATS in its last seven games in this matchup.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Chiefs' last four games against the Falcons.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Falcons' last six games and in five straight home games.
  • The Chiefs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after an ATS win.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Chiefs' last seven games.
  • The Chiefs are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games on the road after covering in their most recent road game.
Dolphins at Ravens
  • The last time Miami won seven straight games was in 1985.
  • At home this season, the Ravens are allowing an NFL-best 53.5 rushing yards per game.
  • Baltimore’s home O/U record combined with Miami’s road O/U record this season is 3-8.
  • The Dolphins are 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in their last six games against the Ravens.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Dolphins' last five games against the Ravens.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Ravens' last 11 games at home and in four of the Dolphins' last six road games.
  • The Ravens are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games in December.
  • The Ravens are 2-6 SU in their last eight games against teams with winning records.
  • The Dolphins are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games in December.
  • The Dolphins are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six games on the road after winning their most recent road game.
Eagles at Bengals
  • Since starting the season 3-0 SU and ATS, the Eagles are 2-6 SU and ATS and they have two straight double-digit losses.
  • The Bengals are 0-4 ATS in their last four games, losing by five points or less in each game.
  • The Eagles are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games against the Bengals.
  • The visiting team is 4-1 ATS in its last five games in this matchup.
  • The Bengals are 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as home underdogs.
  • The Bengals are 8-2 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games at home after failing to cover in their most recent home game.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Eagles' last 10 games on the road.
  • The Eagles are 15-3-1 ATS in their last 19 games in Week 13.
  • The Eagles are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games as road favorites.
Lions at Saints
  • Since the start of October, the Saints are 6-1-1 ATS
  • At home, the Saints are allowing an NFL-worst 30.7 points per game.
  • The Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the Saints.
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Saints’ last 11 home games.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Lions' last three games against the Saints.
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Saints' last 10 games as favorite.
  • The Saints are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games against the NFC North.
  • The Lions are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Drew Brees has thrown for 300 or more yards in seven of his last eight games at home and three or more TDs in 10 of his last 11 games at home.
Texans at Packers
  • On the road, the Texans are averaging an NFL-worst 13.2 points per game and 156.6 passing yards per game.
  • The Texans are 1-3 SU and ATS on the road this season. The three losses were by 18 points or more.
  • The visiting team is 3-0 SU in its last three games in this matchup.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Packers' last 11 games at home.
  • The Packers are 6-1 SU in their last seven games in Week 13.
  • The Packers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games at home after consecutive road games.
  • The Texans are 5-1 SU in their last six games after a loss.
  • The Texans are 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with losing records.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Davante Adams has scored at least one receiving TD in four of his last five games at home.
Redskins at Cardinals
  • At home, the Cardinals are allowing an NFL-best 12.7 points per game.
  • Kirk Cousins has thrown for an NFL-best 357.7 yards per game over his last three games. 
  • The Redskins are 8-1 SU in their last nine games against the Cardinals.
  • The Cardinals are 0-5 ATS in their last five games and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Cardinals’ last 10 home games.
  • The Cardinals are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games after a loss.
  • The Redskins are 8-2-1 SU and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as underdog.
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of the Redskins' last 16 games.
  • The Redskins are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Kirk Cousins has thrown for 300 or more yards in seven of his last eight games after a loss.
Buccaneers at Chargers
  • Tampa Bay is allowing an NFL-best 10.7 points per game over their last three games.
  • The Chargers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games.
  • The Buccaneers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the Chargers.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Buccaneers' last seven games against the Chargers.
  • The Chargers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 December home games.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the Chargers' last five games at home.
  • The Buccaneers are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games in December. In their last 12 December road games, they’re just 2-10 ATS.
  • The Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on the road after winning their two most recent road games.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Mike Evans has scored at least one receiving TD in four of his last five games on the road.
Giants at Steelers
  • The Giants’ road O/U record combined with the Steelers’ home O/U record is 2-8.
  • The Giants are 3-1 ATS in their last four games against the Steelers.
  • The Steelers are 10-1 SU and 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games in December.
  • The Steelers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games at home after failing to cover in their most recent home game.
  • The Giants are 0-3-2 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite.
  • The Giants are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 300 or more yards in seven of his last eight games at home and three or more TDs in his last seven games at home.
Bills at Raiders
  • The Bills are averaging an NFL-best 166 rushing yards per game over their last three games.
  • The Raiders haven’t played a true road game since October 30.
  • The Bills are 1-4 SU in their last five games on the West Coast.
  • The Bills are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against the Raiders.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Bills' last four games against the Raiders.
  • The Raiders are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games at home.
  • The Bills are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games on the road.
  • The Bills are 5-0-2 ATS in their last seven games on the road against teams with winning records.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Latavius Murray has scored at least one rushing TD in his last four games at home.
Panthers at Seahawks
  • The Seahawks are 19-3 ATS in their last 22 games in December.
  • The Panthers are allowing an NFL-high 338 passing yards per game on the road.
  • Russell Wilson has a career 14-3-1 SU record in night games.
  • The Panthers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against the Seahawks.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Panthers' last three games against the Seahawks.
  • Seattle’s home OVER/UNDER record combined with Carolina’s road O/U record is 7-3
  • The Seahawks are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games at home against teams with losing records.
  • The Seahawks are 7-0 SU and ATS in their last seven games in Week 13.
  • The Panthers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Panthers' last 10 games as road underdogs.
  • The Seahawks are 6-0 SU in their last six games when hosting an East Coast team.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Kelvin Benjamin has scored at least one receiving TD in eight of Carolina's last 10 games as a road underdog.
Colts at Jets
  • The Colts are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against the Jets.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Colts' last seven games against the Jets.
  • The Jets are 34-14 SU in their last 48 games at home after losing their most recent home game.
  • The Jets are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games in December.
  • The Colts are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on Monday.
  • The Colts are 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS in their last nine games on the road after winning their two most recent road games.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Brandon Marshall has scored at least one receiving TD in 10 of his last 13 games at home.

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