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NFL Week 13 Betting Primer

Can you smell that? No, not the smell of the bookie burning all of his family photo albums just to stay warm because we’ve been robbing him blind, I’m talking about that crisp December air. With the calendar turning to December, weather absolutely needs to be considered when handicapping NFL games. Some teams are great bets when the temperatures get lower and snow starts to fall.

Here’s the proof:

  • Seahawks: 21-5 ATS in last 26 games in December
  • Steelers: 12-2-1 ATS in last 15 games in December
  • Ravens: 7-17 ATS in last 24 games in December
  • Dolphins: 3-12 ATS in last 15 games in December
  • Vikings: 16-5 ATS in last 21 games in December
  • Bucs: 12-28 ATS in last 40 games in December
  • Lions: 5-16 ATS in last 21 games in December

Notice that two of the awful December bets are teams from Florida while two of the great bets (Steelers and Seahawks) play in cold-weather climates. Coincidence? I think not! So be sure to keep an eye on those temperatures throughout the rest of the regular season and playoffs. These can conveniently be found on our matchups pages for every NFL game. 

If you’ve got no time for the handicapping grind this week, no sweat! Check out my list of the most profitable, most reliable and most simple NFL bets that you might be missing out on.

Good luck this week and as always, KEEP CHASING THAT PAPER!

    Patriots at Bills
    • The Patriots are 20-8-3 ATS in their last 31 games in Buffalo.
    • The Patriots are 24-3 SU in their last 27 games against the Bills. Their average margin of victory in the wins is 16.33 points.
    • Over their last three games, the Patriots rank second in net yards per play. The Bills rank 29th over that span.
    • Over their last three games, the Patriots are averaging 36.3 points per game while allowing just 13.7 points per game.
    • The Bills are allowing a league-high 37 points per game over their last three games.
    • The Bills are 7-22-2 ATS in their last 31 games after winning as an underdog.
    • The Bills are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six games vs divisional opponents.
    • The total has gone OVER in five of the Bills' last six games. The average combined score in those games is 53.5.
    • The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
    • The Patriots are 40-6 SU in their last 46 games in December.
    Texans at Titans
    • The Texans are 6-1 SU in their last seven games against the Titans.
    • The Texans are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against the Titans.
    • The total has gone OVER in three of the Texans' last four games against the Titans.
    • The Titans are 8-27-2 ATS in their last 37 games vs divisional opponents.
    • The Texans are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games vs divisional opponents.
    • The Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.
    • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the Texans' last 17 games against their division on the road.
    Vikings at Falcons
    • The Falcons are 13-1 SU and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games vs other NFC teams.
    • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Vikings' last six games against the Falcons. The average combined score in those games was 40.8.
    • The favored team is 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in the last four games in this matchup.
    • The total has gone OVER in 22 of the Falcons' last 30 games.
    • The Vikings are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in December.
    • The Vikings are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog.
    • The Vikings are 7-0 SU in their last seven games. Their average margin of victory is 10.4 points.
    • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Vikings' last 11 games as an underdog.
    Lions at Ravens
    • The Lions are averaging the third-fewest rushing yards per game this season (78.3).
    • The Lions are allowing a league-high 186.3 rushing yards per game over their last three games.
    • Baltimore is allowing just 15.8 points per game at home this season.
    • Baltimore leads the league in turnover differential at +11.
    • The Lions are 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four games against the Ravens.
    • The Ravens are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games in December.
    • The Ravens are 1-4 SU in their last five games in the early afternoon.
    • The Lions are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games in December.
    • The total has gone OVER in five of the Ravens' last seven games.
    • The Ravens are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games after consecutive wins.
    Panthers at Saints
    • The Panthers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Saints.
    • The total has gone OVER in five of the Panthers' last six games against the Saints. The average combined score in those games was 58.
    • The Panthers are rushing for a league-high 213.3 rushing yards per game over their last three games.
    • The favored team is 18-6 SU in the last 24 games in this matchup.
    • The Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games in the late afternoon.
    • The Saints are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as favorite.
    • The total has gone OVER in the Saints' last four games after a loss.
    • The Panthers are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog (4-0 SU and ATS this season).
    49ers at Bears
    • The 49ers are 0-9 SU and 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games in the early afternoon.
    • The 49ers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against the Bears.
    • Over their last three games, the 49ers are ranked 11th in net yards per play. The Bears are ranked 25th over their last three games.
    • Mitch Trubisky has just two passing TDs in his last five games.
    • The total has gone OVER in three of the 49ers' last four games against the Bears.
    • The favored team is 14-3 SU in the last 17 games in this matchup.
    • The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five games in December.
    • The total has gone OVER in six of the 49ers' last eight games in the early afternoon.
    • The 49ers are 2-24 SU in their last 26 games.
    Broncos at Dolphins
    • The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against the Dolphins.
    • The Dolphins are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games against AFC West teams.
    • The Dolphins are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games after consecutive losses.
    • The total has gone OVER in the Dolphins' last six games. The average combined score in those games was 53.
    • The Broncos are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games in Week 13.
    • The Broncos are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games in the early afternoon.
    • The Dolphins are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games in December.
    Buccaneers at Packers
    • The Buccaneers are 12-28 ATS in their last 40 games in December.
    • The Buccaneers are allowing a league-high 317.3 passing yards per game over their last three games.
    • The Buccaneers are 3-1 ATS in their last four games against the Packers.
    • The total has gone UNDER in 30 of the Buccaneers' last 42 games against the Packers.
    • The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after an ATS win.
    • The Buccaneers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
    Chiefs at Jets
    • The Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Jets.
    • The favored team is 8-0 SU in the last eight games in this matchup.
    • The total has gone OVER in four of the Jets' last five games. The average combined score in those games was 49.2.
    • The Jets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games vs AFC teams.
    • The Jets ranks sixth in net yards per play over their last three games.
    • The Jets are 0-5 SU in their last five games in the early afternoon.
    • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Chiefs' last 11 games in the early afternoon.
    • The Chiefs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after an ATS loss.
    • The Chiefs are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games after a loss.
    Colts at Jaguars
    • The Colts are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs divisional opponents.
    • The Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs divisional opponents.
    • The Colts are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against the Jaguars.
    • The Colts are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the Jaguars.
    • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Colts' last 13 games against the Jaguars. The average combined score in those games was 39.9.
    • The total has gone UNDER in the Jaguars' last five games in the early afternoon.
    • The Jaguars are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 games in Week 13.
    • The Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games in the early afternoon.
    • The Jaguars are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after a loss.
    Browns at Chargers
    • The Browns have lost 12 straight games. Their average losing margin in those games is 10.5 points.
    • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Chargers' last six games. The average combined score in those games was 39.5.
    • The Browns are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a double-digit underdog.
    • In home games, the Chargers are allowing a league-high 151.2 rushing yards per game.
    • The Browns are 2-5 SU in their last seven games against the Chargers.
    • The Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the Chargers.
    • The Chargers are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games after a win.
    • The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the Browns' last 20 games in the late afternoon.
    • The Browns are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games.
    • The Browns are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games against the AFC.
    Giants at Raiders
    • Over their last three games the Giants are averaging just 14.3 points per game.
    • The total has gone OVER in the Giants' last three games against the Raiders.
    • The Raiders are 16-6-1 O/U in their last 23 home games.
    • The favored team is 6-0 SU in the last six games in this matchup.
    • The favored team is 4-1 ATS in the last five games in this matchup.
    • The Raiders are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games as favorite.
    • The Raiders are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games in the late afternoon.
    • The total has gone OVER in 19 of the Raiders' last 26 games after a win.
    • The total has gone OVER in five of the Giants' last seven games after a loss.
    • The Giants are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against AFC teams.
    • The Giants are 7-25 SU in their last 32 games as underdog.
    Rams at Cardinals
    • The Cardinals are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games divisional home games.
    • The Rams are averaging a league-high 32.3 points per game on the road.
    • The Cardinals are averaging a league-low 63.3 rushing yards per game over their last three games.
    • On the road this season, Jared Goff has thrown for 10 TDs and 0 INTs.
    • The total has gone UNDER in three of the Rams' last four games against the Cardinals.
    • The favored team is 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four games in this matchup.
    • The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs divisional opponents.
    • The Rams are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games.
    Eagles at Seahawks
    • The Seahawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
    • The Seahawks are 23-9-2 ATS in their last 34 games as an underdog.
    • The Seahawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games in December.
    • The Seahawks are 22-5-3 ATS in their last 30 games at night.
    • The Eagles are averaging a league-high 39.7 points per game over their last three games and allowing a league-low 11.7 points per game over that span.
    • The Eagles are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games against the Seahawks.
    • The total has gone UNDER in three of the Eagles' last four games against the Seahawks.
    • The favored team is 7-2 SU and ATS in the last nine games in this matchup.
    • The Seahawks are 8-0 SU and ATS in their last eight games in Week 13.
    • The Eagles are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games as favorite.
    • The total has gone OVER in three of the Eagles' last four games at night.
    • The Eagles are 9-0 SU in their last nine games. Their average margin of victory during the streak is 17.1 points.
    • The Eagles are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games.
    Steelers at Bengals
    • The Steelers are 5-0 SU in their last five games against the Bengals.
    • The Steelers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games against the Bengals.
    • The Steelers are 14-1 SU and 12-2-1 ATS in their last 15 games in December.
    • The total has gone UNDER in three of the Steelers' last four games against the Bengals.
    • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Bengals' last nine games in December.
    • The Bengals are 1-7 SU in their last eight games at night.
    • The Steelers are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at night.
    • The Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in Week 13.
    • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Steelers' last 11 games.
    Redskins at Cowboys
    • The Cowboys are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 divisional home games.
    • The Redskins are 2-7 SU in their last nine games against the Cowboys.
    • The Cowboys are averaging just 7.3 points per game over their last three games.
    • The total has gone OVER in the Redskins' last four games against the Cowboys. The average combined score in those games was 54.
    • The Cowboys rank last in the NFL in net yards per play over their last three games.
    • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Cowboys' last seven games at night.
    • The Cowboys are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games on Thursday.
    • The Cowboys are 4-1 SU in their last five games at night.
    • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Redskins' last 12 games vs divisional opponents.
    • The Redskins are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games at night.
    • The Redskins are 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 13.
    • The Redskins are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games vs divisional opponents.

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