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NFL Week 15 Betting Primer

Buffalo Bills Football

Week 15 is here, meaning it's time to win some extra cash for the holidays and make sure the bookie has his worst Christmas yet and has to return all the gifts he bought for his family to cover his debts. It's sad for him, but winning is the name of the game and he's a loser.

League-wide trends are pointing to both favorites and home teams, as faves have gone 19-12 ATS the past two weeks while home teams are also 19-12 ATS the past two weeks. This could be due to the favorites having more to play for this time of year, while home-field advantages for some teams might be making more of an impact with colder weather coming into play.

With those factors in mind, here's some gold nuggets for each game this week that'll help put more presents under your tree and hopefully force the bookie to pawn his.

KEEP CHASING THAT PAPER!

Rams at Seahawks
  • All three teams that fired their coach in-season in 2015 won and covered the spread in their next game. They were all road underdogs.
  • As a favorite of 14 points or more last season, Seattle went 3-0-1 ATS. They’re 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite of 14 or more.
  • The Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog of 14 points or more.
  • The Rams are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three games vs the Seahawks. They were an underdog in each game.
  • Seattle is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 December home games.
  • The Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the Seahawks.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Rams' last nine games against the Seahawks.
  • The Seahawks are 7-0 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games after a loss.
  • The Seahawks are 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games after losing as a favorite.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 18 of the Rams' last 25 games.
  • The Rams are 0-7 SU and 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdog.
Dolphins at Jets
  • The Dolphins are 3-11 SU and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 night games.
  • The Dolphins are 6-2 SU in their last eight games on the road against the Jets.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Dolphins' last six games on the road against the Jets.
  • The Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the Jets.
  • The Dolphins are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.
  • The Jets are 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as underdog.
  • The Jets are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after winning as an underdog.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Dolphins' last seven games.
  • The Dolphins are 1-12 ATS in their last 13 games in December.
  • The Jets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven December road games.
Browns at Bills
  • The last time the Bills were a double-digit favorite was in 2008. They’ve only been a double-digit favorite five times since 2000.
  • The Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a double-digit underdog. They’re 2-28 SU in their last 30 games as a double-digit underdog.
  • The Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games in December.
  • The Bills’ home OVER/UNDER record combined with the Browns’ road OVER/UNDER record is 10-2.
  • The Browns are 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four games against the Bills.
  • The Bills are 9-1 SU and 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 games after consecutive losses.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Bills' last nine games.
  • The Browns are 0-6 SU in their last six games in Week 15.
  • The Browns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on the road after failing to cover in their two most recent road games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Browns' last five games.
Colts at Vikings
  • The Colts are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games after a loss.
  • The Colts are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last four games against the Vikings.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Vikings' last seven games at home.
  • The Vikings are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games vs AFC teams.
  • The Vikings are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 December home games.
  • The Colts are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games on the road after covering in their two most recent road games.
  • The total has gone OVER in all six of the Colts’ road games this season.
Eagles at Ravens
  • Since Week 4, the Eagles are 2-8 SU and ATS.
  • The Eagles are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four December games.
  • The visiting team is 4-1 ATS in its last five games in this matchup.
  • The Ravens are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games at home.
  • The Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of 5.5 or more.
  • The total has gone UNDER in three of the Ravens' last four games in the early afternoon.
  • The Eagles are 10-2 SU and ATS in their last 12 games vs AFC teams.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Eagles' last six games on the road.
Jaguars at Texans
  • The Texans are 9-0 SU and 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games as favorite. Eight of those wins were by seven points or more.
  • The Jaguars are 0-5 SU in their last five games against the Texans. Three of the losses were by nine points or more.
  • The Texans have a lifetime home record of 10-4 SU and 9-5 ATS at home vs Jacksonville.
  • The total has gone OVER in three of the Jaguars' last four games against the Texans.
  • The visiting team is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games in this matchup.
  • The Texans are 9-0 SU and 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games against their division.
  • The Jaguars are 0-11 SU in their last 11 games on the road after consecutive home games.
  • The Jaguars are 2-16 SU in their last 18 December games.
Lions at Giants
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Giants' last five games, while the total has gone UNDER in the Lions' last seven games.
  • The visiting team is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in the last nine games in this matchup.
  • The Giants are 4-1 SU in their last five games after winning as an underdog.
  • The Giants are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 15.
  • The Lions are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as road underdogs.
  • The Lions are 2-7 SU in their last nine games on the road against teams with winning records.
Packers at Bears
  • The Packers are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games in December. Six of those wins were by seven points or more.
  • The Packers are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games against the Bears. Of those wins, nine were by seven points or more.
  • Since 1984, Green Bay is 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS when favored in Chicago.
  • The Packers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against the Bears.
  • The Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as underdog.
  • The Bears are 4-0 ATS this season as home underdogs.
  • The Bears are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games in December.
  • The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road against teams with losing records.
Steelers at Bengals
  • The Steelers are 6-1 SU in their last seven games against the Bengals. Five of the wins were by eight points or more.
  • The Steelers are 10-1 SU, 8-1-2 ATS in last 11 games as favorites in Cincy. 
  • The Steelers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games against the Bengals.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Steelers' last five games against the Bengals.
  • The Bengals are 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as home underdogs.
  • The Bengals are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games in Week 15.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Bengals' last five games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Steelers' last nine games.
  • The Steelers are 12-1 SU and 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games in December.
  • The Steelers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games on the road after covering in their two most recent road games.
Titans at Chiefs
  • The Titans are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games in December. As a road underdog in December, they’re 1-12-1 ATS since 2008.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Titans' last six games against the Chiefs.
  • The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road against the Chiefs.
  • The visiting team is 5-1 SU in its last six games in this matchup.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Chiefs' last nine games.
  • The Chiefs are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Titans' last eight games against teams with winning records.
  • The Titans are 5-16 SU in their last 21 games on the road.
Patriots at Broncos
  • Since 1984, the Patriots are 3-15 SU and 4-14 ATS on the road in Denver. Going back to 2005, New England is 1-6 SU and ATS on the road vs the Broncos.
  • The Broncos are the only team that Tom Brady’s played more than three times that he has a losing record against (5-6 SU).
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Patriots' last eight games against the Broncos.
  • The Broncos are 9-3 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as underdog.
  • The Patriots are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 16 of the Patriots' last 22 games in the late afternoon.
  • The teams have combined to go UNDER in 14 of their last 20 games.
  • The teams have combined to allow an average of just 17.2 points over their last three games.
Raiders at Chargers
  • The Chargers’ home OVER/UNDER record combined with the Raiders’ road OVER/UNDER record is 8-3-1.
  • The Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on the road against the Chargers.
  • The Chargers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 22 of the Raiders' last 29 games on the road against the Chargers.
  • The Chargers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after a loss.
  • The Raiders are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games on the road.
  • The Raiders are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games against their division.
49ers at Falcons
  • The Falcons’ home OVER/UNDER record combined with the 49ers’ road OVER/UNDER record is 10-2.
  • The Falcons are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a double-digit favorite.
  • As an underdog this season, the 49ers are 2-7-1 ATS.
  • The 49ers are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 December road games.
  • The 49ers are 3-1 ATS in their last four games against the Falcons.
  • The Falcons are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games when hosting a West Coast team.
  • The Falcons are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as favorite.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Falcons' last nine games in December.
  • The 49ers are 0-9 SU and 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine games after winning the previous game in a matchup.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of the 49ers' last 14 games on the road.
  • The 49ers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with winning records.
Saints at Cardinals
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Saints' last nine games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona’s last 13 home games.
  • The visiting team is 0-6 SU and ATS in its last six games in this matchup.
  • The Cardinals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Cardinals' last six games as home favorites.
  • The Cardinals are 5-0 SU in their last five games in Week 15.
  • The Saints are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as underdog and 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Saints' last six games against the Cardinals.
  • The Saints are 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with losing records.
Buccaneers at Cowboys
  • The Buccaneers are 1-5 SU in their last six games against the Cowboys.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Buccaneers' last 11 games against the Cowboys.
  • The Cowboys are 18-6 SU in their last 24 games at home after consecutive road games.
  • Dallas has been favored by 7 points or more twice this season and is 2-0 SU and ATS in those games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Cowboys' last five games as favorite.
  • Dallas is 5-12-2 ATS in its last 19 December home games.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Buccaneers' last seven night games.
Panthers at Redskins
  • The Redskins’ home OVER/UNDER record combined with the Panthers’ road OVER/UNDER record this season in 11-1.
  • Cam Newton is 3-0 SU and ATS in his career vs the Redskins with 7 TDs, 0 INTs and 2 rushing TDs.
  • The Redskins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with losing records.
  • The Redskins are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games on Monday.
  • The Panthers are 0-6 SU in their last six games on the road against teams with winning records.
  • The Panthers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games on the road.
  • The Redskins have gone OVER in eight straight road games.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Panthers' last five games as underdog.

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