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NFL Week 16 Betting Primer

Christmas is almost here, but there’s still plenty of time for us to destroy the bookie’s year and make his family detest him. He’ll be looking into a new line of work in 2017 and all it takes is a little bit of homework on our part.

Road teams broke the bank last week by going 11-5 ATS, which was their best week of the season. However, road teams have only had consecutive winning weeks once so far this season, so if you’re on the fence with some of your picks this week, you might want to show a little bit of love to the home sides.

Now then, let’s focus a little bit and make some Christmas magic together. Don’t spoil your holiday weekend by going with your gut. Instead, take a quick scan of the top trends and stats for each Week 16 game below. Hopefully, they’ll lead to an extra little something in your stocking or under the tree and if all goes to plan, the bookie will end the year deep in debt and even deeper into depression.

Have a blast this weekend and even though the holidays are here, never forgot and stop chasing that paper!

Giants at Eagles
  • The Giants are allowing just 12.3 points per game over their last three games — second-best in the NFL.
  • The Eagles’ home OVER/UNDER record combined with the Giants’ road OVER/UNDER record is 1-11.
  • The Eagles are 13-4 SU and ATS in their last 17 games against the Giants.
  • The Giants are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games against the Eagles.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Eagles' last six games at home.
  • The Eagles are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games vs divisional opponents.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Giants' last six games.
  • The Eagles are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six December home games.
  • The Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog.
  • The Giants are 9-2 SU and ATS in their last 11 games on the road after consecutive home games.
  • The Giants are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite of 3.0 or less.
Bengals at Texans
  • The Texans are 2-19-1 ATS in their last 22 games at night.
  • The Bengals are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 December road games.
  • The Bengals are 1-6 SU in their last seven games against the Texans.
  • The Bengals are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against the Texans.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Bengals' last three games against the Texans.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Bengals' last six games.
  • The Texans are 6-1 SU in their last seven games at home.
  • The Bengals are 0-10-1 SU in their last 11 games against teams with winning records.
Chargers at Browns
  • The Browns are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games. Seven of those losses were by double digits.
  • The Browns are also 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games. Six of those losses were by double digits.
  • The Chargers are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games as a road favorite.
  • The Browns are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games when hosting a West Coast team.
  • The Chargers are 5-1 SU in their last six games against the Browns.
  • The Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against the Browns.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Browns' last six games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Chargers' last six games as road favorites.
  • The Chargers are 3-1 ATS in their last four games after consecutive ATS losses.
Dolphins at Bills
  • The Dolphins are 2-9 SU and ATS in their last 11 games on the road against the Bills.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Dolphins' last three games against the Bills.
  • The Bills are 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games after losing the previous game in a matchup.
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Bills' last 10 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Dolphins' last five games in the early afternoon.
  • The Dolphins are 1-6 SU and ATS in their last seven games on the road after winning their most recent road game.
  • The Dolphins are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games in December.
  • The Bills are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 December home games.
Falcons at Panthers
  • The Falcons are averaging a league-best 37 points per game over their last three games, along with a league-best 32.4 points per game on the road.
  • This is the first time this season that the Panthers will be a home underdog.
  • In their last eight games as an underdog, the Panthers are 6-1-1 ATS.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Falcons' last seven games against the Panthers.
  • The Falcons are 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in their last four games on the road against the Panthers.
  • The Panthers are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home.
  • The Panthers are 6-2 SU and ATS in their last eight games at home against teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Falcons' last nine games.
  • The Falcons are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games on the road.
  • The Falcons are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games in the early afternoon.
Jets at Patriots
  • The Patriots are allowing a league-best 12 points per game over their last three games.
  • Since 1984, the Jets have been a double-digit underdog 22 times. They went 14-7-1 ATS in those games. As an underdog on 16 points or more, they’re 2-0 ATS.
  • The Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of 16 points or more.
  • The Jets are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games against the Patriots.
  • The Jets are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Patriots.
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of the Jets' last 14 games against the Patriots.
  • The Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as favorite.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Patriots' last five games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Jets' last 10 games on the road.
  • The Jets are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games in December.
  • The Jets are 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as underdog.
Redskins at Bears
  • The Bears are a pitiful 2-11 SU in their last 13 home games in December.
  • The Redskins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 December road games.
  • The Redskins are 6-0 SU in their last six games against the Bears.
  • The Redskins are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against the Bears.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Bears' last seven games as underdog.
  • The Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after a loss.
  • The Bears are 1-6 SU in their last seven games against teams with winning records.
  • The Redskins are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Redskins' last six games on the road against teams with losing records.
  • The Redskins are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last four games in Week 16.
Titans at Jaguars
  • Jacksonville is 5-22 SU in its last 27 games in December.
  • The Titans are 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road against the Jaguars.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Titans' last six games on the road against the Jaguars.
  • The Jaguars are 4-14 SU in their last 18 games against their division.
  • The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games at home after failing to cover in their most recent home game.
  • The Titans are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as favorite.
  • The Titans are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 December road games.
Vikings at Packers
  • The Packers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 December home games.
  • The Vikings are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 December road games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Vikings' last four games against the Packers.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Packers' last eight games.
  • The Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games in Week 16.
  • The Vikings are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on the road.
  • The Vikings are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games on the road against teams with winning records.
  • The Vikings are 2-8-1 SU in their last 11 games in Green Bay.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Vikings' last eight games as underdog.
Buccaneers at Saints
  • The Saints are allowing a league-worst 30.3 points per game at home this season.
  • The Buccaneers are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against the Saints.
  • The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Saints.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of the Buccaneers' last 16 games against the Saints, including their December 11 game where they combined for just 27 points.
  • The Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
  • The Saints are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite.
  • The Saints are 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games at home after consecutive road games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the Buccaneers' last 20 games in December.
  • The Buccaneers are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in their last six games.
  • The Buccaneers are 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS in their last seven games on Saturday.
Cardinals at Seahawks
  • The Cardinals are allowing a league-worst 32.3 points per game over their last three games.
  • The Seahawks are allowing a league-best 14.6 points per game at home.
  • The Cardinals’ road OVER/UNDER record combined with the Seahawks’ home OVER/UNDER is 10-3.
  • Arizona is allowing 29.7 points per game on the road — fourth-worst in the NFL.
  • The Seahawks are 19-5 ATS in their last 24 December home games.
  • The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Seahawks.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Cardinals' last eight games on the road against the Seahawks.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of the Seahawks' last 17 games in December.
  • The Seahawks are 7-0 SU in their last seven games at home and with a win they’ll finish the season perfect at home.
  • The Seahawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 16.
  • The Cardinals are 7-2 SU in their last nine games after losing as a favorite.
  • The Cardinals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after consecutive losses.
Colts at Raiders
  • The Colts are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four road games. They were an underdog in each of those games.
  • The Raiders’ home OVER/UNDER record combined with the Colts’ road OVER/UNDER record is 12-2.
  • The Colts are 4-0 SU in their last four games against the Raiders.
  • The Colts are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the Raiders.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Colts' last five games against the Raiders.
  • The Raiders are 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games at home after consecutive road games.
  • The Raiders are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Colts' last 10 games on the West Coast.
  • The Colts are 1-6 SU in their last seven games after a win.
49ers at Rams
  • The Rams are averaging a league-worst nine points per game over their last three games. They’re also averaging just 12.4 points per game at home this season, which is also the worst in the NFL.
  • The 49ers are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven games against the Rams.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the 49ers' last four games against the Rams.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Rams' last eight games.
  • The 49ers are 0-10 SU and 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after winning the previous game in a matchup.
  • The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 3.0 or less.
  • This is easily the worst game of the season not involving the Browns. I’m not sure why anyone would watch it, especially on Christmas Eve.
Ravens at Steelers
  • The Ravens are allowing just 69.3 rushing yards in their six road games this season.
  • The Steelers are 13-1 SU and 12-1-1 ATS in their last 14 games in December.
  • The Ravens are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 December games.
  • Baltimore is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games vs the Steelers.
  • The Ravens are 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against the Steelers.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Ravens' last three games against the Steelers.
  • The Ravens are 9-21 SU in their last 30 games on the road against the Steelers.
  • The Steelers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Steelers' last 10 games.
  • The Ravens are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in the late afternoon.
  • The Ravens are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games on the road after losing their two most recent road games.
  • Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell have just five combined touchdowns in 18 career games vs the Ravens.
  • Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 300 or more yards in seven of his last nine games at home.
Broncos at Chiefs
  • The Broncos are averaging 11 points per game over their last three games — second-worst in the NFL.
  • Kansas City is 3-0 ATS after a SU loss this season.
  • The Chiefs haven’t lost back-to-back games in over a year.
  • The game opened with a total of 37.5 points. If that number stays intact, it will be the lowest total of the season. The teams have topped that number in eight straight games against each other.
  • The Broncos are 5-0 SU in their last five games on the road against the Chiefs.
  • The Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on the road against the Chiefs.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Chiefs' last 10 games.
  • The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games at night.
  • The Chiefs are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games at home.
  • The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against their division.
Lions at Cowboys
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Lions' last six games against the Cowboys.
  • The Lions are 3-1 ATS in their last four games on the road against the Cowboys.
  • The Cowboys are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games at home against teams with winning records.
  • The Cowboys are 6-0 SU in their last six games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Lions' last eight games.
  • The Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 7.5 or more.
  • The Lions are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven games against teams with winning records.
  • The Lions are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in December.

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