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NFL Week 2 Betting Primer

Did that greasy bookie get you in Week 1? He certainly got anyone who bet on the Patriots or any overzealous bettors who went all-in on OVER bets. Yes, the public certainly took a pounding with the Patriots’ getting destroyed at home and the OVER only hitting in five of the 15 games, but there’s no time like the present to get even or, better yet, destroy the bookie’s life by sending him to the poorhouse. 

Before you log in to your favorite sportsbook and start throwing money around, there’s one piece of betting advice I’d like to pass along — limit your risk. Working in this industry, friends often hit me up for general betting tips, and that’s my No. 1 piece of advice for casual bettors.

People’s eyes light up when they see the profits they can make off of crazy parlay bets. The profit is big because they rarely hit. The NFL is extremely unpredictable. Last year, for example, in each of the first seven weeks of the season, there were six or more straight-up underdog winners.

So, don’t be greedy ... or actually, be as greedy as you want. It’s really none of my business how you spend your money. Either way, check out all the numbers I dug up below and good luck with your bets this weekend.

Follow me on Twitter @JTFOz for all the best NFL trends and stats.

    Patriots at Saints 
    • The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Saints' last 13 games at home. The average combined score in those games was 59.5.
    • The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in Week 2.
    • On the road in 2016, Tom Brady threw 18 TDs and 0 INTs.
    • The Saints are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.
    • The Saints are 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games in September.
    • Drew Brees has a career 123.3 QB rating in four games vs the Patriots — his highest vs any team in the NFL.
    • Drew Brees has thrown for 300 or more yards in 12 of his last 15 games at home.
    • The Saints allowed the most points in home games in 2016, allowing 29.5 PPG.
    • The Patriots allowed the fewest points in road games in 2016, allowing just 17.1 PPG.
    • The Patriots are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against the Saints.
    • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Patriots' last nine games against the Saints.
    • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Patriots' last nine games as road favorites.
    • The Patriots are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games on the road.
    Eagles at Chiefs
    • Eagles are 10-2 ATS in the last three seasons vs AFC teams.
    • The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Chiefs.
    • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Chiefs' last eight games in the early afternoon.
    • The Chiefs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games at home.
    • The Chiefs are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games in Week 2.
    • The Eagles are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five games as road underdogs.
    • The Eagles are 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on the road.
    • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Eagles' last eight games in September.
    Bears at Buccaneers
    • The Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog.
    • The Buccaneers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
    • The Buccaneers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven September home games.
    • In two career games vs Chicago, Jameis Winston has thrown for 607 yards and has a 102 QB rating.
    • The Bears ranked last in the NFL in points on the road in 2016, averaging just 14.6 PPG.
    • The Bears are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games on the road against the Buccaneers.
    • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Bears' last 10 games on the road against the Buccaneers.
    • The Buccaneers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games at home.
    • The Bears are 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on the road.
    • The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games in the early afternoon.
    Titans at Jaguars
    • The Titans are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games in the early afternoon.
    • The Titans are 1-16-1 ATS in their last 18 divisional road games.
    • Blake Bortles has thrown for 300 or more yards in his last three games against the Titans.
    • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Titans' last seven games on the road against the Jaguars.
    • The visiting team is 0-6 SU in its last six games in this matchup.
    • The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games at home.
    • The Jaguars are 6-15 SU in their last 21 games against their division.
    • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Titans' last five games.
    Vikings at Steelers
    • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Steelers' last 12 games in the early afternoon.
    • The Steelers are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games at home.
    • The Vikings are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games in the early afternoon.
    • Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 3 or more TDs in eight of his last 10 games at home.
    • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Vikings' last eight games against the Steelers.
    • The Vikings are 3-1 ATS in their last four games on the road against the Steelers.
    • Antonio Brown has scored at least one receiving TD in nine of his last 11 games at home.
    • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the Vikings' last 14 games in Week 2.
    Bills at Panthers
    • The Bills are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games in Week 2.
    • The Panthers are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite.
    • The Bills are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
    • The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Bills' last 13 games.
    • The Bills are 5-1 SU in their last six games against the Panthers.
    • The visiting team is 4-1 ATS in its last five games in this matchup.
    • The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
    Browns at Ravens
    • The Browns are 2-16 SU in their last 18 games against the Ravens. Nine of the losses were by double digits.
    • The Browns are 5-19-1 ATS in their last 25 games as underdog.
    • The Browns are 0-12 SU and 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs divisional opponents.
    • The Ravens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs divisional opponents.
    • The Ravens allowed the fewest points in the NFL at home in 2016, allowing just 14.8 PPG.
    • The Ravens are 2-7 SU in their last nine games after winning as an underdog.
    • The total has gone OVER in three of the Browns' last four games against the Ravens.
    Cardinals at Colts
    • The total has gone OVER in the Cardinals' last eight games. The average combined score in those games was 59.5.
    • The Colts are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after a loss.
    • The Cardinals are 10-25 SU in their last 35 September road games.
    • The Colts are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog.
    • Carson Palmer has thrown 14 INTs in his last 8 road games.
    • The Cardinals are 3-1 ATS in their last four games against the Colts.
    • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Cardinals' last six games against the Colts.
    • The Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in September.
    • The total has gone UNDER in the Colts' last five games at home.
    • The Cardinals are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games in September.
    Cowboys at Broncos
    • The Cowboys are 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 September road games.
    • The Broncos are 25-4 SU in their last 29 home games in September.
    • The Cowboys are 0-5 SU in their last five games against the Broncos.
    • The total has gone OVER in six of the Cowboys' last seven games against the Broncos.
    • The Broncos are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games in Week 2.
    • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Cowboys' last seven games on the road.
    • The Cowboys are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games in September.
    Dolphins at Chargers 
    • Dolphins were 3-0 ATS in late-afternoon games last season.
    • The Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 September home games.
    • In a loss vs Miami last season, Philip Rivers threw four INTs.
    • Just one of Jay Ajayi’s 8 TDs in 2016 came on the road.
    • The Dolphins are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games against the Chargers.
    • The Dolphins are 3-1 ATS in their last four games against the Chargers.
    • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of the Dolphins' last 14 games against the Chargers.
    • The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Chargers' last 11 games in Week 2.
    • The Chargers are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games at home.
    • The Dolphins are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games in Week 2.
    Jets at Raiders
    • The Raiders haven’t been a double-digit favorite since 2003.
    • The Jets are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games on the road against the Raiders.
    • The total has gone OVER in the Raiders' last nine games when hosting an East Coast team.
    • The Raiders are 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 games as home favorites.
    • The Jets have averaged just 13.87 points per game in their last eight road games.
    • The total has gone OVER in four of the Jets' last five games against the Raiders.
    • The Raiders are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games.
    • The Jets are 3-14 SU in their last 17 games in the late afternoon.
    Redskins at Rams
    • The Redskins are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs.
    • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Redskins' last 11 games on the road.
    • Todd Gurley has scored at least one rushing TD in four of his last five games at home.
    • The Rams averaged a league-worst 12.7 points per game at home in 2016.
    • The Rams were a home favorite just once in 2016 – they lost 22-21 to the 49ers.
    • The Redskins are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the Rams.
    • The total has gone UNDER in three of the Redskins' last four games against the Rams.
    • The Rams are 1-6 SU in their last seven games at home.
    • The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in the late afternoon.
    • The Redskins are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in their last four games in the late afternoon.
    49ers at Seahawks
    • The Seahawks are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 home games as a double-digit favorite.
    • The 49ers are 0-7 SU in their last seven games against the Seahawks.
    • The 49ers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games against the Seahawks.
    • The 49ers are 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS in the last 9 games in Seattle. The 8 losses were by an average of 16.75 pts.
    • The total has gone OVER in the 49ers' last three games against the Seahawks.
    • The Seahawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six games in the late afternoon.
    • The Seahawks are 8-1 SU in their last nine games at home.
    • The total has gone OVER in seven of the 49ers' last nine games on the road.
    • The 49ers are 1-10 SU and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in the late afternoon.
    Packers at Falcons
    • The Packers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 September road games.
    • The Packers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against the NFC South.
    • In their last three games against each other, these teams have combined to score an average of 70 points per game.
    • The Falcons have gone OVER in 10 straight home games. The average combined points in those games was 63.
    • The Packers allowed 30.1 PPG on the road in 2016 — 2nd-worst in the NFL.
    • The Falcons ranked 1st in points at home in 2016, averaging 32 PPG.
    • The Packers are 1-3 ATS in their last four games against the Falcons.
    • The Packers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games on the road against the Falcons.
    • The Falcons are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games in Week 2.
    • The Falcons are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as favorite.
    • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Packers' last eight games at night.
    • The Packers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games.
    • In two games vs the Packers last season, Matt Ryan threw for 680 yards, 7 TDs and 0 INTs.
    Lions at Giants
    • The total has gone OVER in four of the Lions' last five games on the road against the Giants.
    • The visiting team is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games in this matchup.
    • The Giants have averaged just 11.57 points per game in their last seven games.
    • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Giants' last 10 games.
    • The Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last five games in Week 2.
    • The Giants are 2-5 SU in their last seven games at night.
    • The Lions are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games in Week 2.
    • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Lions' last 12 games.
    • The Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the NFC East.
    Texans at Bengals
    • The Texans are 2-21-1 ATS in their last 24 games at night, including 1-7 on TNF.
    • The Texans are 7-1 SU in their last eight games against the Bengals.
    • The Texans are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the Bengals.
    • The total has gone UNDER in the Texans' last four games against the Bengals.
    • The total has gone UNDER in the Bengals' last five games at night.
    • The Bengals are 11-4-3 ATS in their last 18 games in September.
    • The Bengals are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games in Week 2.
    • The Bengals are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games in September.
    • The Texans are 2-6 SU and ATS in their last eight games on the road.
    • The total has gone UNDER in the Texans' last six games in September.

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