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NFL Week 3 Trends

With three games boasting double-digit spreads on the Week 3 schedule do the trends predict another round of underdog upsets for bettors this weekend?

The three big spread games on the schedule this weekend are Cleveland at Baltimore (-10.5), Buffalo at New England (-13), and Detroit at Minnesota (-10). The Browns have started the season both 0-2 SU and ATS and are heavy underdogs against a Baltimore team still trying to find its offensive identity. So, should you take the Browns as the underdog against the spread? The trends say no. ADVERTISEMENT: THE VIKINGS HAVE WON 16 STRAIGHT AT HOME VS DETROIT, BUT CAN THEY COVER THE SPREAD? BUFFALO NEEDS A WIN BUT HAS BEEN DOMINATED BY THE PATRIOTS. GET THE LATEST WEEK 3 NFL ODDS AND FIND YOUR BEST BONUS WHEN YOU CHECK OUT Bovada TODAY. The Ravens have a history of delivering when the oddsmakers back them with a big spread. In their last 17 games as a double-digit favorite Baltimore is a perfect 17-0 SU and owns a profitable 12-5 record ATS. Wanna know what the Browns' ATS record is in their last 16 games as a double-digit underdog? 8-8. Throw in that Cleveland is 2-10 SU and 5-7 ATS in their last 12 road games, and 3-8 SU and 5-6 ATS in their last 11 trips to Baltimore, and the Ravens look like the smart pick on Sunday. The Bills drew the wrong time to go to New England. Coming off an upset loss to the Jets the Patriots will likely be taking out some of their frustration on the hapless Bills. What bettors want to know, though, is are the Bills worth a couple bucks as a 13-point underdog at Bovada? The trends say yes this time. Get the most betting options and fastest payouts of any sportsbook. Click here! As good as the Patriots' offense has been in recent years they haven't been a great betting option when facing large spreads. In their last 17 games as a double-digit favorite the Pats are 15-2 SU but only 4-13 ATS. That includes an ATS loss against Buffalo last season in which they were 13.5-point chalk. The Bills, the constant underdog, have actually been a solid play on the road over their last 20 games with a 12-8 record ATS. If the Bills can keep this up, and the Pats fail to live up to lofty expectations again, the Bills would pay off. Finally, there's the Lions at the Vikings. The Vikings started the season 0-2 with a dead-in-the-water passing game, and still they're a 10-point home favorite at Bovada versus Detroit. Their 12-game home winning streak against the Lions and Detroit's 21-game road losing streak probably have something to do with it.

The trends don't all favor Minnesota, though. The Vikings are only 6-5-1 ATS in those 12 wins, while Detroit has gone 8-11-2 during their long road losing streak. There's also the Vikings' record as a big favorite. When favored by double-digits in their last 13 games the Vikes are only 6-7 ATS. The Lions' record in their last 20 games as a double-digit underdog is 10-8-2 ATS. With the Lions' offense humming, and the Vikings' offense sinking like a stone, the Lions look like a smart underdog pick this weekend as well.