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NFL Week 4 Betting Trends

In Week 3, the two most dominant trends blew up in the face of bettors.

Buffalo snapped an 0-15 run by defeating the Patriots and the Lions won in Minnesota for just the second times in 17 trips there. Week 4 NFL trends are not nearly as one-sided, but perhaps they can be more profitable.  

San Francisco faces an ugly trend in its game at Philadelphia, but it’s more to do with the division itself than with the Eagles. The 49ers have lost 13 of 14 games to NFC East teams dating back several years and they have bled money on the point spread too, going 1-11-2 ATS.

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However, the 49ers get 10 points here against an angry Eagles team that could explode at any moment. They are also an angry Eagles team that has inexplicably lost four in a row at home.

In Cincinnati, the 3-0 Bills are small road favorites against a team they have beaten eight straight. They have also put plenty of cash in the pockets of Buffalo bettors with a 7-1 ATS run. However beware the Bengals who are on a 6-2 ATS run as an underdog. [ Best dog and over line both at TopBet as of Friday ]

If you think you can trust the Chargers as a big favorite, something they have been completely unreliable in doing, they 7-point home chalk against the Dolphins. Miami has dominated them in the past 15 years, going 7-1 SU (6-2 ATS). But the UNDER may be the angle if trends hold up - all 8 recent meetings have gone UNDER the total.

[ The Vikings have blown double-digit leads all three games this season - wanna bet they do it again this week or any time during the 2011 season? Check out Bovada props ]

And in Green Bay, the biggest spread of the week sees the Packers -14 against the Denver Broncos. Some trends that mesh together here include the Broncos 1-10 SU in their past 11 road games while the Packers are 13-1 SU, 10-3-1 ATS in their past 14 games at home.

See the latest Week 4 odds and matchup stats on every game by visiting our pages today.

Washington -1 at St Louis +1

Rams 4-0 ATS past four meetings with Redskins

49ers +10 at Eagles -10

Eagles lost 4 straight at home
49ers are 1-13 SU vs NFC East teams since 2004
49ERS 1-11-2 ATS past 14 vs NFC East teams

Vikings -2 at Chiefs +2

Vikings 2-11 SU past 13 road games
Other than 2010 season, KC 1-11 SU past 12 home games

Saints -7.5 at Jacksonville +7.5

Home team won all four meetings since 1996
Saints just 2-5 ATS past 7 as road favorite

Steelers +4 at Houston -4

Texans 10-3 SU past 13 as chalk, after struggling in that role for years
Texans 10-3 ATS past 13 vs AFC North teams

Lions +1 at Dallas -1

Lions 7-0-1 ATS past 8 games
6 of past 7 meetings have gone UNDER total
OVER is 14-2 past 16 Dallas games overall

Titans +1 at Browns -1

Cleveland 3-1 ATS past 4 vs Titans
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS past 7 as small fave or 2 or less points
Titans 1-7 ATS past 8 as small underdog of 2 or less

Bills -3 at Bengals +3

Bills 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS against the Bengals
Bengals 6-2 ATS past 8 games as underdog
Bills 14-6 ATS as small favorite since 2003

Panthers +7 at Bears -7

Bears 16-4 SU past 20 games as favorite
Panthers 3-16 SU, 4-15 ATS past 19 games as dog of 8 or less

Falcons -4.5 at Seahawks +4.5

Seahawks 3-8 ATS past 11 as underdog
Falcons 6-1 ATS past 7 games as road favorite
Seahawks 14-6 ATS at home since 2008

Giants -1 at Arizona +1

Giants 11-2 ATS in the past 13 games vs NFC West teams
Total has gone UNDER in 7 of the New York Giants last 9 games against Arizona
Total has gone UNDER in 5 of past 6 meetings at Arizona

Dolphins +7 at San Diego -7

All 8 recent meetings have gone UNDER the total
Dolphins 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS past 8 vs Chargers

Patriots -4 at Raiders +4

Pats are 6-1 ATS in their past 7 road games
Raiders have played OVER in 5 straight at home
Both 3-0 favoring the OVER so far in 2011-09-29

Broncos +14 at Green Bay -14

Broncos are 1-10 SU in their past 11 road games
Packers 13-1 SU, 10-3-1 ATS in their past 14 games at home

Jets +3 at Baltimore -3

Ravens 6-1 SU in seven meetings against the Jets since 1997
Ravens are 13-1 SU in their past 14 home games
Jets are 12-1 favoring OVER in their past 13 road games

Colts +10 at Tampa Bay -10 Monday Night Odds

Indy is 3-0 ATS in three games vs TB since 1997
OVER is 10-2 in their past 12 Colts road games
Bucs have lost 5 straight October home games ATS

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