NFL Week 5: Potential Upsets
For the second week in a row in the NFL every underdog that covered won outright. In Week 3 there were five pups winning; last weekend all six that covered won outright. The favorites were 9-6 and are now 32-28-3 after the first four weeks of the season and 19 of the dogs have won outright.
This week that most glaring opening-line underdog on the card has to be the New England Patriots, who were installed as 3-point pups for their game against the Bengals in Cincinnati, but are currently off the board at Bovada, perhaps because of the status of tight end Rob Gronkowski. Nonetheless, it's easy to see why the Pats are enticing, and will be a value all the way down to a pick. While the Patriots are one of five remaining undefeated teams in the NFL, the Bengals are struggling with their offensive game.
Cincinnati failed to score a touchdown during a 17-6 loss in Cleveland last Sunday, and it doesn't appear things are clicking the way offensive coordinator Jay Gruden had hoped. And when you have a team a quarter of the way into the season, unsure of itself and questioning its capabilities, it can get shredded by a team like the Patriots.
The other underdog that looks as if it can win outright is the Philadelphia Eagles, which opened as +2.5 underdogs, and are now as high as +3 at the New York Giants, at Bovada.
Though the Eagles have lost three straight since a 33-27 win over the Redskins in their season opener, make note their three losses have come against AFC West teams that have a combined 10-2 record. So while Chip Kelly's fast-paced scheme didn't work against the Chiefs, Broncos, or Chargers, it doesn't mean it can't outperform a winless Giants team that has the 30th-ranked offense in points per game.
Besides, the Giants have lost 8 of 10 both straight-up and against the number against Philadelphia, which has won 8 of its 11 trips to the Giants' home stadium.