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NFL Week 7 Betting Primer

Another week of NFL action is upon us, which means another week to humiliate that smug bookie who keeps taking money from you. Underdogs have come out on top in five of the six weeks this season. I keep expecting that number to even out and maybe this is the week. Last season, underdogs hit in 51.5% of games, but that number is up to roughly 52.1% this season.

So, here we go, juicy nuggets of pure gold mixed with some traditional betting trends and some stats that will help you send that bookie to the unemployment line and straight to the homeless shelter... I know, it doesn't work like that, but the guy is trying to steal our money, so let's ruin his life!

Giants at Rams
  • The Giants are averaging a third-best mark of 288 passing yards per game, while the Rams are ranked 28th with 221 passing yards per game.
  • The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against the Rams.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Giants' last four games against the Rams.
  • The Rams are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games after consecutive ATS losses.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Eli Manning has one or fewer TD passes in three of his last four road games.
Bills at Dolphins
  • The last time the Bills were outright winners in five straight games was in 2004. The last time they covered in five straight games was in 2007.
  • The Dolphins won outright in their last two games as home underdogs — +7.5 to PIT last week and +10 to NE last season.
  • The last five games between these teams have been decided by 13 or more points.
  • The Bills lead the NFL with 166.5 rushing yards per game. The Dolphins have allowed the second-most rushing yards per game at 147.
  • The Bills are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games against the Dolphins.
  • The Bills are 6-15 SU in their last 21 games on the road after winning their most recent road game.
  • The Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as road favorites.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the Bills' last five games.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Tyrod Taylor has a 145.7 QB rating in his career vs Miami — his highest vs any team that he’s played at least twice.
Browns at Bengals
  • The Browns are 0-9 SU in their last nine games on the road. Six of those losses were by 11 points or more.
  • The Browns are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games in Cincinnati. Four of the losses were by 10 points or more.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Browns' last four games against the Bengals.
  • The Bengals are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as a double-digit favorite.
  • The Bengals are 6-0 SU and ATS in their last six games after consecutive losses.
  • The Browns are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games after an ATS win.
Colts at Titans
  • The Colts are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against the Titans.
  • The Titans are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against their division.
  • The Titans are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite.
  • The Colts are 17-4 SU in their last 21 games against their division.
  • The Colts are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road after losing their two most recent road games.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Marcus Mariota has thrown 3 TDs in two straight games.
Patriots at Steelers
  • As a road favorite of a touchdown or more, the Patriots are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games in that spot.
  • The Patriots are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as road favorites.
  • The Patriots are 11-1 SU and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October.
  • The Patriots are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against the Steelers.
  • The Steelers are 7-1 SU in their last eight games after losing as a favorite.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Steelers' last 10 games.
  • The Patriots are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on the road after covering in their most recent road game.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Tom Brady has thrown for an average of 391 yards with three TD passes in each of his games this season. In his career vs the Steelers he has 22 TD passes and just three INTs.
  • *Fantasy Alert* In four games without Ben Roethlisberger last season, Antonio Brown didn't score a TD and had just one 100+ yard receiving game.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Le’Veon Bell averaged 112.25 rushing yards in the four games without Roethlisberger last season.
Buccaneers at 49ers
  • Tampa Bay is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite. They’ve been a road favorite three times since 2010 and are 0-3 ATS in those games.
  • Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS since 2011 on the road vs AFC and NFC West division teams.
  • Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after a bye.
  • The Buccaneers are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road against the 49ers.
  • The 49ers are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games at home after losing their most recent home game.
  • The Buccaneers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as road favorites.
  • The 49ers are allowing a league-high 174.5 rushing yards per game. They’re also averaging a league worst 179.5 passing yards per game.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Mike Evans has a TD in all three Bucs’ road games this season.
Chargers at Falcons
  • Since 2003, Atlanta is 18-3 SU (11-10 ATS) when hosting an AFC or NFC West division team.
  • The last time the Falcons covered in six consecutive weeks was in 2010.
  • The Chargers are 1-11 SU in their last 12 road games, but 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
  • The Falcons are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of six points or more.
  • The Chargers are 0-6 SU in their last six games against the Falcons.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Chargers' last seven games against the Falcons.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Falcons' last 12 games at home.
  • The Falcons are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games as favorite.
  • The Falcons are 0-5 SU in their last five games as home favorites.
  • Philip Rivers is 0-2 SU in his career vs Atlanta with 0 TDs and two INTs.
Raiders at Jaguars
  • The Raiders are 3-0 SU and ATS on the road this season in the early afternoon Sunday slot.
  • The Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games. Four of those games were decided by three points or less.
  • The Jaguars are 0-11 SU and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games at home after covering in their most recent home game.
  • The Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with winning records.
  • The Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after consecutive ATS losses.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the Raiders' last 14 games on the road after consecutive home games.
  • Oakland is allowing a league-worst 319 passing yards per game.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Amari Cooper hasn’t scored a TD in seven straight road games.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Allen Robinson has six TDs in his last six home games.
Ravens at Jets
  • The Jets have lost SU and ATS four straight times. Each loss was by at least 10, with an average losing margin of 18.5. The last time they failed to cover in five straight weeks was in 2008.
  • The Ravens are 8-0 SU in their last eight games against the Jets. Six of those wins were by seven points or more.
  • The Ravens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the Jets.
  • The Ravens are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games on the road after failing to cover in their two most recent road games.
  • Joe Flacco is 3-0 SU in his career vs the Jets.
Redskins at Lions
  • The Redskins are 16-5 SU in their last 21 games against the Lions.
  • The last time the Redskins covered the spread in five consecutive weeks was in 2012.
  • The Lions have allowed a league-worst 17 TD passes.
  • The Lions are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against teams with winning records.
  • The Lions are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after consecutive wins.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Redskins' last six games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of Detroit’s last 10 home games.
  • Detroit’s two home wins this season are by a combined four points.
Vikings at Eagles
  • The Vikings are 18-2 ATS in their last 20 games. INSANE!
  • The Vikings are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six games after a bye. They’re 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four road games that come directly after a bye.
  • The Vikings have the best turnover differential in the NFL at +11. Only them and New England haven’t thrown an INT this season.
  • The Vikings are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games on the road.
  • The Vikings are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against the Eagles.
  • The Vikings are 1-8 SU in their last nine games on the road after playing in consecutive home games.
Saints at Chiefs
  • The Saints have covered the spread in four straight games as a road underdog.
  • The Saints have allowed a league-high 11 rushing TDs this season.
  • The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as home favorites.
  • The Chiefs are 7-0 SU in their last seven games against teams with losing records.
  • The Saints are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with winning records.
  • The Saints are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games in October.
Seahawks at Cardinals
  • The Seahawks are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three games on the road against the Cardinals. They outscored the Cards 105-34 in those games.
  • Seattle’s defense ranks in the top five in points allowed, and rushing and receiving yards allowed per game.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Seahawks' last 12 games on the road against the Cardinals.
  • The Seahawks are 7-2 SU in their last nine games on the road.
  • The Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games in Week 7.
  • The Cardinals are 17-5 SU in their last 22 games as home favorites.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Russell Wilson has eight TDs and 0 picks in his last three games in Arizona. in his last five regular season road games, he has 14 TDs and 0 picks.
Texans at Broncos
  • The Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of a touchdown or more.
  • The Broncos haven’t lost three straight games since 2011.
  • Both teams are 1-7 ATS in their last eight Monday games.
  • Denver is allowing a league-best 203.5 passing yards per game.
  • The Broncos are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games after losing as a favorite.
  • The Broncos are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games at home after losing their most recent home game.

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