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NFL Week 9 Line Moves

After having a couple of days to mull over and bet the 13-game NFL board this week, bettors have moved the lines on three games by a full point or more. Two of these three big movements are on favorites, which is no surprise after their 9-4 ATS performance last week.

The two favorites that have had their lines move at least a full point this week are the New York Giants on the road against Seattle and Minnesota at home against Arizona.

New York opened at -4.5, and have been bet all the way to -6.5 by their backers. The Giants have been on a tear lately, winning four straight games with a 3-1 ATS record over that stretch. Bettors don’t seem to be too worried about Seattle’s home field advantage; Seattle is 3-0 both SU and ATS at home this season with wins and covers over San Francisco, San Diego, and Oakland.

Minnesota has had a wild week in the media with the waiving of Randy Moss and another loss to fall to 2-5, but it hasn’t seemed to affect bettors’ willingness to back them. Arizona is just 1-3 SU and ATS on the road, and 0-3 SU and ATS since their Week 1 road win over St. Louis. Brett Favre is expected to play after suffering an injury on his chin last week.

The one line movement that moved over a full point on an underdog was Cleveland going from +5.5 at home against New England to just +4.0. The line movement is very surprising considering the fact that New England has the NFL’s best record at 6-1 and is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games. Cleveland is just 2-5 SU this season, but their last game before the bye was an outright upset of New Orleans as a 12.5-point underdog.

Atlanta opened as an 8-point favorite at home against Tampa Bay this week, and are now -8.5. This line movement is also a bit surprising since Tampa Bay has the same 5-2 SU record as Atlanta does this season. Atlanta is the statistically superior team, but Tampa Bay is 3-0 SU and ATS (all outright upsets) on the road this season, and this is a division rivalry game. Late bets may still come in on Tampa Bay, but early bettors have faith in an Atlanta blowout. [View Tampa Bay vs Atlanta Matchup Odds]

In a surprisingly meaningful game in the AFC West, bettors have sided with the Kansas City Chiefs, who opened at +3.0 at Oakland and are now +2.5. Kansas City has had the better season overall at 5-2 both SU and ATS, but Oakland has won two straight games in blowout fashion, 59-14 over Denver and 33-3 over Seattle.
[View Kansas City vs Oakland Odds]