NFL Weekend Betting Recap
Just five weeks into the season and there are already no undefeated teams left in the NFL. It’s been that kind of year for favorites, who aren’t just getting beat by underdogs, they are getting demolished.
This Sunday, underdogs once again ruled the day with a 9-4 record ATS. Oh, and did I mention that they were also 9-4 straight up as well? Putting this week together with the last two, underdogs are now 29-14 (67.4%) ATS and 23-20 (53.5%) straight up. Bettors that hopped on the underdog train a few weeks ago have been chugging right along to massive profits.
Two big favorites in Indianapolis -7.5 and Baltimore -8.0 won and covered Sunday, and two small favorites in Detroit -3.0 and Atlanta -3.0 did the same. Other than these four exceptions, it was a chalk bloodbath.
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Remarkably there were four different seven-point favorites that all fell straight up on Sunday; two on the road in New Orleans and San Diego, and two at home in Dallas and Cincinnati. All four upsets went OVER their posted totals, and paid handsomely on the moneyline.
Dallas was coming out of their bye week hosting Tennessee. Bettors expected the Cowboys to build on their win over Houston two weeks ago and come out of the bye week strong, but they had no answer for Vince Young and Chris Johnson.
Cincinnati let their game against Tampa Bay slip away in the closing minutes, driving their backers crazy in the process. Up 21-14 with under three minutes to go, Carson Palmer threw two late interceptions which led to 10 points and the win for the Buccaneers.
San Diego was supposed to be one of the day’s safest bets, at least on the moneyline, carrying a 13-game winning streak against Oakland.
But two blocked punts and three fumbles lost led to yet another favorite biting the dust. New Orleans also fell victim to turnovers in their loss to Arizona, turning the ball over four times as Arizona scored two touchdowns on fumble recoveries and one on an interception return.
The Over/Under trended OVER at 8-5 on Sunday as nine of the 13 games played saw over 40 points of scoring (including five games with over 50 points of scoring). All four games that stayed under 40 were very low scoring at 30 points or less in each (Indianapolis 19 – Kansas City 9, Atlanta 20 – Cleveland 10, Chicago 23 – Carolina 6, Washington 16 – Green Bay 13).
Needless to say, all four of those games went UNDER their posted totals. Games with 40+ points of scoring were 8-1 on the OVER, with the one exception being the New York Giants’ 34-10 victory over Houston failing to reach the posted total of 48.5.